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POLITICAL ECONOMY
US warns China of growth 'hangover'
by Staff Writers
Washington (AFP) Oct 25, 2011


China's overdependence on cheap exports to fuel its break-neck economic growth has led to a boom that will "leave a financial hangover for years", a senior US government official warned Tuesday.

"China's excessive dependence on growth driven by exports to advanced economies and investment will need to change," Lael Brainard, the Treasury Department's under secretary for international affairs, told Congress.

"During the 2008-2009 global crisis, China was able to sustain growth through a massive credit-fueled investment boom. This will leave a financial hangover for years," she said.

Brainard warned that China risked "repeating the experience of other fast-growing Asian economies" who saw their growth fall soon after investment rates reached their peak.

"With investment reaching an all-time high of almost 48 percent of GDP, however, China's peak is higher than other Asian economies," she warned.

As President Barack Obama struggles to convince Congress his administration's policies toward China are resulting in substantive reforms, Brainard said it was in Beijing's interest to change.

Describing "daunting challenges in coming years," Brainard, said "China needs to take these actions to sustain its own growth, as well as to address the concerns of its trade partners."

"On these issues, we have actively pressed China to accelerate the pace of reform in order to achieve more balanced growth and create fairer competition, and there has been some progress, but there are strong interests within China that favor a go-slow approach."

Democrats and Republicans alike have accused China of flouting World Trade Organization rules and keeping the value of the yuan weak in order to make its exports more competitively priced.

Many have backed a plan that would introduce sanctions against China for its failure to allow the yuan to appreciate.

Democrat Sander Levin said China's policies were "imbalanced unfair and unsustainable," the American people, he said, "want Congress to take action."

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China orders banks to boost credit for small firms
Beijing (AFP) Oct 25, 2011 - China on Tuesday ordered state-owned banks to increase lending to small businesses, amid concerns that an explosion in private financing could lead to widespread bankruptcies and bad debts.

Banks should ensure that the growth of loans for small businesses keeps pace with overall lending and "boost support" for borrowers of less than five million yuan ($785,000), the China Banking Regulatory Commission said.

The regulator also urged banks to "regulate loan fees" for smaller companies, the statement said.

Many independent business owners have been forced to borrow money at high interest rates from private lenders after being rejected by major banks who favour other state-controlled enterprises whose debts are implicitly guaranteed by the government.

But the disappearance of more than 90 entrepreneurs in the eastern city of Wenzhou over high debts has fuelled concerns that the flourishing informal lending market could collapse and destabilise China's financial system.

Analysts estimate China's private lending market is worth as much as four trillion yuan -- or 10 percent of gross domestic product -- and leaders worried about the potential for widespread bankruptcies to trigger unrest have vowed to help.

The State Council, or cabinet, said earlier this month that it would make it easier for smaller businesses to get bank credit by broadening financing channels and offering them tax breaks.



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