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NUKEWARS
'Yes or no' time as Iran nuclear talks near deadline
By Simon STURDEE and Jo BIDDLE
Lausanne (AFP) March 30, 2015


Iran nuclear talks - who's saying what
Geneva (AFP) March 30, 2015 - After 18 months of talks, some of the world's top diplomats are nearing what could be the finish line for a deal on Iran's nuclear programme.

On Monday, Iranian leaders met in Lausanne, Switzerland with ministers from the United States, Russia, Britain, France, China and Germany for their first full session since missing a previous deadline in November.

A Western diplomat has described it as "yes or no" time.

Below are quotes from key players in the run-up to a new deadline midnight Tuesday for Iran and the P5+1 group of world powers to nail down the final pieces of a framework deal.

- Iran -

"Everything is linked. If all the technical issues are resolved and the questions tied to the sanctions are not, then there is no deal."

- Iranian nuclear chief Ali Akbar Salehi

"I think we can in fact make the necessary progress to be able to resolve all the issues and start writing them down in a text that will become the final agreement once it's done."

- Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif

"Getting to an accord is doable... The talks are in their final phase and are very difficult."

- Iranian top negotiator Abbas Araghchi

- World powers -

"I'm not paid to be optimistic."

- Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov

"We are here because we believe a deal can be done... But it has to be a deal which puts the bomb beyond Iran's reach."

- British Foreign Secretary Philip Hammond

"I am coming here with the desire to move towards a robust agreement."

- French Foreign Minister Laurent Fabius

"After 10 or almost 12 years of talks with Iran, the endgame of the lengthy talks, so to speak, is beginning here."

"The final metres are the most difficult but also the decisive ones."

- German Foreign Minister Frank-Walter Steinmeier

"We have never been so close to a deal."

EU foreign policy chief Federica Mogherini

"At some point you have to say 'yes or no'."

- Western diplomat

- Opponents to the talks -

"The dangerous accord which is being negotiated in Lausanne confirms our concerns and even worse."

- Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, who also denounced the "Iran-Lausanne-Yemen axis" as "dangerous for all of humanity".

"I just don't understand why we would sign an agreement with a group of people who in my opinion have no intention of keeping their word."

- US House Speaker John Boehner to CNN.

Global powers raced against the clock Monday on the eve of a deadline to nail down the final pieces of a framework deal aimed at putting any Iranian nuclear bomb out of reach.

Adding to the drama, Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov left the crunch talks with Iran in Switzerland after a series of meetings, Russian media reported.

He will only return if there is a "realistic" chance of a deal, his spokeswoman said earlier.

Lavrov and his counterparts from the United States, China, Britain, France and Germany met with the Iranians in a lakeside Lausanne hotel on Monday for their first full session since missing a previous November deadline.

A Western diplomat said it was "yes or no" time, adding the talks remained blocked on three major issues -- the length of the accord, the lifting of UN sanctions and a mechanism to ensure both sides stick to the deal.

Global powers have set a midnight Tuesday deadline to agree the outlines of a deal that they will then try to finalise by June 30. Only then would Iran receive sanctions relief, diplomats said.

- Ample notice -

The global powers want Iran to scale back its nuclear programme to give the world ample notice of any dash to make the bomb and end a crisis that has threatened to escalate dangerously for 12 years.

The diplomatically isolated Islamic republic denies wanting atomic weapons and is calling for the lifting of sanctions that have strangled its lifeblood oil exports and its access to the global financial system.

The threat of new US sanctions, and domestic pressure on Iranian President Hassan Rouhani for his attempts at rapprochement with the West, all but rule out any further extension of the deadline.

"We had a very important meeting, and detailed discussions," Iran's lead negotiator Abbas Araghchi said, while insisting "we have solutions" for most of the remaining issues.

China's Foreign Minister Wang Yi said he was "cautiously optimistic" adding the differences between the parties were "narrowing."

Even before a deal is sewn up, opponents have railed against it, fearing it will not do enough to stop Iran getting the bomb.

These include US President Barack Obama's Republican opponents and Israel, widely believed to be the sole, if undeclared, nuclear-armed power in the Middle East.

Saudi Arabia -- leading an Arab coalition which on Monday carried out a fifth straight night of air strikes on Iran-backed rebels in Yemen -- is also uneasy about any thawing in US-Iran ties.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, in his second broadside in two days, said Monday a deal would be tantamount to Tehran being "rewarded" for its "aggression" in Yemen.

- Jigsaw puzzle -

Western diplomats say some areas in a highly complex jigsaw puzzle are tentatively agreed. But they caution there is a long way to go.

One said Sunday that Iran had "more or less" agreed to slash the number of its centrifuge enrichment machines from 20,000 to 6,000 and to ship abroad most of its stockpile of low-enriched uranium.

This would make it a much more lengthy process to further purify these stocks to weapons-grade.

Iranian officials dismissed the numbers as "speculation", with Araghchi ruling out sending the stocks abroad, although he said "other options" were being examined.

This could include diluting low-enriched uranium or converting it to another form.

In addition to scaling down its nuclear programme, the powers want Iran's remaining facilities to be subject to an unprecedented level of inspections by the UN atomic watchdog.

Its underground facility at Fordo would also likely be barred from uranium enrichment, diplomats said, although it might be kept open for research purposes.

The United States, EU and others are only prepared to suspend their sanctions, not terminate them, and in a phased manner in order to ensure that Iran does not violate the deal.

The issue of UN Security Council sanctions is particularly tricky.

Araghchi said Sunday there must be a "precise framework" for lifting sanctions. The duration of any deal -- the United States wants at least 10 and possibly up to 15 years -- is also a point of contention.

With the world's fourth biggest oil and second biggest gas reserves, the energy industry is the cornerstone of Iran's economy, but it was hit hard by the American and European embargo imposed in 2012.

The sanctions sent the economy of the OPEC member state into recession but it is now reporting growth again.


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