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US needs 'credible' threat against Iran: experts
by Staff Writers
Washington (AFP) Feb 1, 2012


The United States should deploy more warships to the Gulf, arm Israel and issue tough warnings to convince Iran it is serious about possible military action to stop Tehran's nuclear program, former US lawmakers and experts said Wednesday.

The bipartisan group criticized President Barack Obama's administration for downplaying the likelihood of US military action in public statements, saying it undercut efforts to pile pressure on Iran's leadership.

Diplomacy and sanctions designed to persuade Iran to abandon its nuclear ambitions would only have a chance to succeed if backed up by more "visible, credible preparations for a military option," the bipartisan group said in a report.

"The United States needs to make clear that Iran faces a choice: it can either abandon its nuclear program through a negotiated arrangement or have its program destroyed militarily, by the United States or Israel," said the report by a panel led by former senator Chuck Robb, a Democrat, and Charles Wald, a retired US general.

"The risks of inaction are too high. We must stop Irans nuclear clock," it said.

The authors found fault with the Obama administration's declarations on Iran, saying "administration officials seem to be conditioning the American public not to expect a military strike."

The group recommended sharper public rhetoric that would leave no doubt about Washington's readiness to use force and then to flex US military muscle in the region to drive home the point.

The US military should preposition supplies, carry out exercises with Gulf allies and deploy additional ships -- including minesweepers and an additional aircraft carrier battle group -- to the Gulf and off Oman's coast, it said.

The US Navy already has a substantial presence in the Gulf, with two aircraft carriers often deployed.

The task force called for expanding arms sales to Gulf allies, including more "offensive" weapons, while seeking a "strategic partnership" with Azerbaijan on Iran's border.

Although the report did not advocate Israel taking pre-emptive military action, it said the United States should do more to make Israel's threat credible.

The group urged providing Israel with more advanced bunker buster bombs, which are designed to penetrate underground sites, as well as to supply two to three mid-air refueling tanker aircraft to extend the range of Israeli aircraft in any air raid.

The authors acknowledged a myriad of grave risks in the case of US or Israeli military action, including casualties, rallying Iranians around the regime, retaliation against US and allied targets, a possible temporary closure of the Strait of Hormuz and a spike in oil prices.

But the report argues the United States had to be prepared to use force because the long-term dangers posed by a nuclear-armed Iran outweighed the short-term fallout come from military strikes.

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Merkel urges China to press Iran over nuclear programme
Beijing (AFP) Feb 2, 2012 - German Chancellor Angela Merkel urged Beijing Thursday to put pressure on Iran to be more "open and transparent" over its nuclear programme.

Merkel made the comment at the start of a three-day official visit to China during which she will hold talks with Chinese leaders expected to focus on the eurozone crisis, Iran and Syria.

A diplomatic source said the German chancellor would also call on Beijing not to take advantage of Europe's ban on Iranian oil -- imposed on Tehran over its nuclear programme -- to boost its own imports of the resource.

The United States, the European Union and others have ramped up sanctions to target Iran's oil industry and central bank since a UN atomic watchdog report in November raised suspicions Tehran had done work on developing nuclear weapons.

The International Atomic Energy Agency said it had a trove of evidence that "indicates that Iran has carried out activities relevant to the development of a nuclear device."

It detailed 12 suspicious areas such as testing explosives in a steel container at a military base and studies on Shahab-3 ballistic missile warheads that the IAEA said were "highly relevant to a nuclear weapon programme."

Iran insists its nuclear drive is for peaceful purposes and that the IAEA report was based on "forgeries" provided by its enemies.



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NUKEWARS
IAEA sets date for new nuclear talks in Tehran
Vienna (AFP) Feb 1, 2012
The UN atomic watchdog IAEA said Wednesday it would hold new talks in Tehran this month, as its chief inspector returned from Iran warning there was "still a lot of work to do" on its nuclear programme. The International Atomic Energy Agency said in a statement that another meeting would take place in Tehran from February 21 to 22, adding that it was committed to "intensifying dialogue". ... read more


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