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TRADE WARS
US, Japan kick off trade talks amid China deal optimism
By Kyoko HASEGAWA
Tokyo (AFP) April 14, 2019

Regional Asian exporters could be 'crowded out' in US-China trade pact
Washington (AFP) April 12, 2019 - A coming trade pact between Washington and Beijing could mean US goods will out-muscle regional Asian exporters reliant on sales to China, the International Monetary Fund warned Friday.

"In the case of an agreement involving managed trade, with China committed to import more from the US, reducing imports from elsewhere can be an issue," Changyong Rhee, head of the IMF Asia Department, told reporters during the fund's spring meetings with the World Bank.

"There could be negative impacts on other countries whose exports to China would be crowded out by US exports."

Washington and Beijing have been in talks since the start of the year to resolve their nine-month trade war.

Beijing has floated offers to make eye-popping purchases of US agricultural and energy exports as a means of cutting its soaring trade surplus with the United States.

President Donald Trump has been outraged by the US trade deficit with China, which has increased despite the punishing tariffs he imposed last year on Chinese imports.

Countries such as Vietnam, Thailand, Malaysia and Mongolia are crude exporters to China, suggesting they could lose market share should US exports to China increase.

Rhee also said Friday that formal bilateral purchase agreement would be a departure from the prevailing rules governing international trade.

"Likewise if the deal involves preferential access for the US to the Chinese markets, this could lead to broader worries about the future of the multilateral trade system," he said.

As optimism grows that the United States and China are nearing a trade deal, Japan kicks off its own negotiations with Washington from Monday, hoping to resolve some of the issues "very quickly."

US Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer and Japan's Economy Minister Toshimitsu Motegi are set to embark on two days of talks in Washington.

In Tokyo last week, Motegi predicted the crunch talks would be "candid", with the first round on Monday about "making a decision on which areas we will discuss, chiefly in the field of goods".

"I will do my best to have thorough discussions so as to produce a good result in line with our national interest," said Motegi.

Self-styled dealmaker Donald Trump has been playing hardball with traditional US trading partners, using tariffs and threats in an effort to boost US exports and curb Washington's longstanding trade deficit.

In May, Trump ordered his administration to investigate the possibility of imposing tariffs of up to 25 percent on foreign autos and auto parts, a prospect that alarmed the industry and could have serious repercussions for Japan and Europe.

The US president has frequently complained that Japan has an unfair advantage in bilateral trade and vowed to fix that.

- 'Very quick agreement' -

US Agriculture Secretary Sonny Perdue said Thursday he was seeking a "very quick agreement" with Japan on tariff cuts for agricultural goods.

"I hope we can come to a very quick agreement with Japan over maybe some temporary ... provisions and hash out the many other issues that take longer in this area," Perdue told reporters in Washington, Kyodo News and the business daily Nikkei reported.

However, the US side is likely to run into opposition from Japan on this issue, Jiji Press reported, citing unnamed government sources.

"There's no way for us to conclude an agricultural deal first," a senior Japanese official told Jiji.

If Japan does so, it may violate World Trade Organization rules related to free-trade agreements, the officials noted, according to the report.

Tokyo is expected to counter with demands that the United States scrap tariffs on Japanese industrial goods, if Washington urges an early opening of Japanese agricultural markets.

Tokyo aims to focus only on tariff matters, describing the talks as "TAG" or trade agreement on goods.

However, Washington trade officials have spelled out 22 specific negotiation areas also including non-tariff barriers in Japan's auto market and currency.

US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said Saturday any agreement will include a requirement to refrain from manipulating currencies to gain an advantage in international trade.

Golf buddies Trump and Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe will have plenty of opportunities to talk trade in the coming months.

Abe is visiting the United States later this month and Trump is expected in Japan in May to pay his respects to the country's new emperor who will take the throne on May 1.

Trump is then expected back in Japan the month after as the western city of Osaka hosts the G20 summit of world leaders on June 28-29.


Related Links
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TRADE WARS
EU's Juncker demands fair trade from China ahead of summit
Brussels (AFP) April 9, 2019
European companies should have the same rights in China as Chinese firms in Europe, European Commission head Jean Claude Juncker said Tuesday as an unusually tense EU-China summit kicked off in Brussels. The EU-China summit every year brings Beijing's number two leader the EU's top officials together and serves as a litmus test on the state of ties between Europe and the Asian giant. This year's meeting comes a month after the European Commission, the EU's executive arm, branded Beijing "a syste ... read more

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