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Scant hope for change in Myanmar 'civilian' rule

German supplies to Myanmar questioned
Chiang Mai, Thailand (UPI) Mar 30, 2011 - Doubts are being raised about the eventual end use of German technology shipped to Myanmar. Bob Kelley, formerly with the International Atomic Energy Agency, says Berlin is being "naive" in its claim that German equipment exported to Myanmar hasn't been used contrary to its stated end use. Kelley based his comments on a photo published by DVB captioned, "Burmese Major Sai Thein Win stands in front of a German-made machine that he said produced an impeller, which he is holding, for a liquid-fueled rocket engine," Mizzima News reported Wednesday. The piece of machinery in the photo was manufactured by German firm Deckel Maho Gildemeister and subsequently shipped to Myanmar.

In 1996 the European Union adopted a Common Position on Myanmar, including a ban on the sale or transfer from the EU of arms or weapons expertise, or of any equipment that might be used for internal repression. That ban remains in place. In September 2007, following repression by the Myanmar junta of pro-democracy protests, further measures focused on 1,207 companies, with sanctions including visa bans and asset freezes. In April 2009 the EU extended the visa ban and asset freezes on members of the Myanmar military junta and its supporters for another year. Myanmar activists are increasingly worried that the German government's statement of denial comes amid heightened concerns that next month Germany, with Austrian assistance, will press fellow EU members to lessen or even lift the EU's economic sanctions against Myanmar's military junta government.

Kelley's testimony is an important tool for the Myanmar activists, as in 2010 he appeared in a Democratic Voice of Myanmar -- DVB -- documentary aired on al-Jazeera as an independent exporter verifying testimony and evidence from a high-ranking Myanmar military defector. The defector alleged that German equipment was being used for clandestine weapons program, in violation of EU sanctions against exports on "dual-use" technology. The DVB documentary highlighted the testimony of Sai, a former senior scientist in Myanmar's junta, who claimed that Deckel Maho Gildemeister not only exported technology prohibited under EU sanctions but also provided engineers and specialist personnel to oversee the installation of the equipment in factories owned by the military junta. Sai related how Deckel Maho Gildemeister machinery was used to make precision metal parts, was being used by the junta's factories covertly to manufacture rocket and missile parts.
by Staff Writers
Yangon (AFP) March 31, 2011
Myanmar's attempt to rebrand itself with a nominally civilian government was met with scepticism at home and abroad on Thursday, with critics fearing army power has merely moved into the shadows.

Newspapers were sold out on the streets of Yangon a day after former general Thein Sein was made president and the feared junta was disbanded following nearly half a century of military rule.

But while the new order provoked interest, there was little optimism.

Company manager Konaing said the new parliament, which is dominated by the army hierarchy and lacks the participation of democracy icon Aung San Suu Kyi, was a "hot issue" with ordinary people.

"But they do not think there will be changes in the country as the generals only changed their uniforms. We have not many expectations, not much hope," he told AFP.

Wednesday's handover came after Myanmar's first elections in 20 years last November, which were slammed by critics as a sham to provide a civilian facade to army rule, and marred by the absence of Suu Kyi, and by claims of cheating.

Myanmar's strongman Than Shwe also relinquished his position at the head of the army during the power transfer, but many analysts believe the feared "senior general" will find a way to retain influence behind the scenes.

In a rare address, printed in Thursday's government mouthpiece The New Light of Myanmar, Thein Sein insisted the Myanmar people "have elected us and given (us a) mandate".

"I invite and urge some nations wishing to see democracy flourish and the people's socioeconomy grow in Myanmar to cooperate with our new government," he said.

But the United States expressed concern over the country's "oppressive political environment", while United Nations Secretary General Ban Ki-moon urged Myanmar to prove "that this change is one of substance".

China however voiced its approval of the country's "independent choice of development path and hopes to see sustained stability and progress in democracy in the country, so as to achieve democratic development".

Myanmar's influential northern neighbour is to send a senior official to meet Thein Sein on Sunday, the first international engagement of his presidency.

"We hope the international community will create a sound environment for Myanmar to achieve economic growth," Beijing said, in a nod to economic sanctions enforced by the US and European Union because of Myanmar's human rights abuses.

The election, and Suu Kyi's release from house arrest a few days later, divided the opposition and reignited a debate about sanctions.

Suu Kyi's National League for Democracy (NLD), which has no voice in parliament and was disbanded for boycotting the poll over rules seemingly designed to exclude her, said it "acknowledged" the changes.

"As the NLD mainly works for national reconciliation we expect to start a dialogue with the new government," said spokesman Nyan Win.

Opposition group the National Democratic Force (NDF), which split from Suu Kyi's party to participate in the vote, said the president's speech promising to focus on healthcare and education, was "very significant".

"We can see that he has the desire to reform but we have to wait and see whether it really happens," said the party's leader Khin Maung Swe.

Thein Sein, the country's former prime minister and a key Than Shwe ally, is among a slew of generals who shed their army uniforms to contest the elections and are now civilian members of parliament.

His junta-backed Union Solidarity and Development Party (USDP) bagged 388 of the national legislature's 493 elected seats the election, while a quarter of the assembly was already reserved for military legislators.

"Many government workers are hoping for change," one Myanmar official said, on condition of anonymity.

But Myanmar analyst Maung Zarni, of the London School of Economics, said: "It requires a tremendous degree of suspension of rational thought and empirical knowledge to feel any sense of optimism" with the new government.



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