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NUKEWARS
Republican barbs raise nuclear deal doubts in Iran
By Arthur MacMillan
Tehran (AFP) Aug 22, 2015


Iran says partisanship damaging US foreign policy
Tehran (AFP) Aug 22, 2015 - The fevered partisanship of US politics is damaging the country's foreign policy, Iran said Saturday, hitting out at threats of military action against it should nuclear diplomacy ultimately fail.

The comments in Tehran came after US President Barack Obama said in a letter that all options remain on the table against Iran.

Iran and six world powers led by the US struck a deal last month on Tehran's disputed nuclear programme but it is undergoing a bruising review in Congress and has yet to be implemented.

"Political partisanship and competition have taken US foreign policy hostage," foreign ministry spokeswoman Marzieh Afkham said, calling Obama's remarks "repetitive and baseless".

These claims are "showing the uncertainty and depth of confusion of American officials in determining their national interests," Afkham said, according to the official IRNA news agency.

The US president said in a letter to Jerrold Nadler, a Democrat who has announced his support for the deal, that the agreement is good for America, Israel and the Middle East in general.

"We have a wide array of unilateral and multilateral responses that we can employ if Iran fails to meets its commitments," Obama said.

"All of the options available to the United States -- including the military option -- will remain available through the life of the deal and beyond," he added.

Israel, which Iran does not recognise as a state, has been the biggest opponent of the nuclear deal, claiming that it paves the way to Tehran obtaining a nuclear bomb.

Obama has said the deal does precisely the opposite, and Iran denies seeking an atomic weapon.

If Congress chooses to reject the deal, Obama will still be able to veto the move as long as Republicans fail to obtain a two thirds majority against it.

Israel's Barak says army blocked three Iran attack plans
Jerusalem (AFP) Aug 22, 2015 - Israel's former defence minister Ehud Barak has said in an interview that three Iran attack plans backed by both himself and Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu were blocked by the military.

Barak, defence minister from 2009 to 2013 told the privately run television station Channel 2 overnight Friday that the plans were drawn up between 2009 and 2010.

They were approved both by him and Netanyahu, but the response of the then chief of staff, General Gaby Ashkenazi, "was not positive".

Ashkenazi's successor Benny Gantz told the country's political leadership that "the possibilities (for an attack on Iran) exist, but you know its limitations and risks", Barak said.

He said the military's reservations convinced two members of the eight-member security cabinet -- Moshe Yaalon and Yuval Steinitz -- not to back such a plan, depriving the premier of the necessary majority to proceed.

Yaalon, the current defence minister, had the strategic affairs portfolio at the time, while Steinitz who is now infrastructure and energy minister was then finance minister.

Barak said an opportunity in 2012 to attack Iran was shelved as it would have coincided with large joint military exercises with the United States "which was likely to embarrass Washington and give the impression the Americans were directly involved in the attack".

In 2013, former prime minister Ehud Olmert accused his successor Netanyahu of spending nearly three billion dollars on preparations for an attack on Iran that never materialised.

For years, Netanyahu has trumpeted the threat to use the "military option" to prevent Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons.

He categorically opposes the agreement reached in mid-July between the Islamic republic and major powers which will lead to the lifting of economic sanctions against Tehran.

Fierce criticism of the Iran nuclear agreement by Republicans seeking the US presidency has raised a big question in Tehran -- will future American leaders keep their side of the bargain?

Despite tension and continuing mutual mistrust, Iran's government and President Barack Obama's White House are partners in the same fight, telling their domestic audiences that the July 14 deal is as good as it gets.

But with the US presidential election only 15 months away, opponents of last month's historic pact -- particularly those who are lining up to replace Obama -- pour scorn on it.

No leading Republican contender has pledged to stand by the agreement between Iran, the United States and five other world powers. Several have promised to rip it up if they are elected.

On Wednesday, Republican presidential hopeful Jeb Bush called the deal a "farce", saying rules for inspecting Iran's nuclear sites were unclear.

Every such intervention raises doubt in Iran about whether the US "can follow through", said Foad Izadi, a partly US-educated political analyst and professor at the University of Tehran.

"If we get some crazy person in the White House the potential is there for the deal to fall apart," he said.

"It's not the next 18 months that bothers me but what happens when Obama goes. People are concerned about that."

When the nuclear deal's terms were concluded -- international sanctions on Iran will be lifted in exchange for curbs on its nuclear programme -- it came against heavy odds and opposition, particularly from Israel.

Republican presidential candidates and lawmakers have since kept the fight against the deal alive.

- Obama veto likely -

Iran and the US, the dominant international player in the talks led by Secretary of State John Kerry, broke off diplomatic relations in 1980, after the Islamic revolution in Tehran the previous year.

For many Americans, including representatives in Congress, the rancour with Iran is epitomised by the 444-day US hostage crisis. After students stormed the walls of the US embassy in Tehran they eventually paraded captive diplomats in black blindfolds.

The Republican-dominated Senate and House of Representatives are expected in September to pass a resolution opposing the nuclear deal.

Although Obama is likely to have enough votes from Democrats to veto that measure, the partisanship highlights the trouble the agreement could face should a Republican win the White House next November.

Amir Mohebbian, a political analyst and strategist with close ties to Iran's leadership, said that though they probably do not realise it, the Republicans are gifting Iran a "get-out" over the nuclear deal.

"If Mr Obama cannot manage this conflict between Republicans and Democrats we can say to the world 'we did everything we could', but the reason for this deal's defeat would not be Iran.

"No one could say Iran showed no flexibility and did not want to solve the problem. It would be seen as the fault of the United States."

Such a stance would also make other options regarding Iran's nuclear programme, including military strikes, much harder, he said.

"After these talks, any hard multilateral action against Iran would be very difficult for the US to justify to European countries, especially after Iraq.

"If the US goes down the unilateral route it will be worse for them than for us," Mohebbian said.

- 'Irrational enemy' -

The battle in Congress over the deal has coincided with a public relations push in Washington and Tehran.

Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif, Tehran's lead negotiator in the nuclear talks, recently conducted several high-level briefings in the capital about the deal.

Despite the opposition in Congress, and criticism from some Iranian generals, Zarif said on July 29 he had "no concern or worry" that the agreement's terms would be fully implemented within months.

Even so, the Islamic republic's supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has not conclusively backed the deal.

The 76-year-old has praised Zarif and his negotiators but repeatedly casts doubt on the trustworthiness of the United States.

"They think that through this agreement -- the fate of which is not clear as no one knows if it will be approved here or in America -- they could find a way to intrude into the country," Khamenei said on Monday.

As such the White House race stands to undermine America's position on the nuclear agreement, Mohebbian argued, particularly as no Republican candidate has presented a clear alternative.

"The US is showing no sign its political leadership is as powerful as it claims to be," he said, citing the Congress-White House split. "Our enemy is not behaving rationally," he added.


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NUKEWARS
Iran lawmakers pick nuclear deal review panel
Tehran (AFP) Aug 19, 2015
Iran's parliament announced Wednesday the final composition of a 15-member panel largely composed of conservative lawmakers to review the country's nuclear deal with world powers. Iranian MPs have demanded a stronger say in the deal negotiated by Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif with US Secretary of State John Kerry and top diplomats from five other leading nations. Along with criti ... read more


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