Space Industry and Business News  
POLITICAL ECONOMY
Property and credit booms stablise China growth
By Benjamin CARLSON
Beijing (AFP) Oct 19, 2016


Chinese growth stabilised in the third quarter, data showed Wednesday, as ample credit and hot property markets propped up the world's second-largest economy.

But while the forecast-beating reading was in line with state targets, it came as experts warned that authorities have relied too much on easy credit, which has in turn increased financial risks.

The economy grew 6.7 percent in July-September, officials said, just above the 6.6 percent predicted in an AFP poll.

"The general performance was better than expected," National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) spokesman Sheng Laiyun told reporters. "The national economy grew steadily."

The government has targeted 6.5-7.0 percent growth for the year, following 6.9 percent last year -- the slowest rate in a quarter of a century.

"It was so in-line with expectations that I could have written this yesterday, to be honest," Michael Every with Rabobank in Hong Kong told AFP. "It's amazing what a housing bubble and crazy debt increases can achieve."

Also Wednesday, data showed a pick-up in retail spending, which has become an increasingly important component as Beijing looks to recalibrate the country's growth driver from investment and exports to consumer demand.

But Beijing's attempts to retool the economy have proved painful, with authorities resorting to stimulus measures as they try to avoid a hard landing.

Sheng acknowledged that the economy was in "a critical period of transformation and upgrading, with old drivers of growth to be replaced by new ones".

With "a number of unstable and uncertain domestic and external factors", he added, "the foundation of continued economic growth is not solid enough."

Some analysts have questioned the accuracy of Chinese data, arguing they are subject to political manipulation.

"As always, the GDP figures will be met with some scepticism," said Julian Evans-Pritchard of Capital Economics, who thinks expansion is slower than official reports.

Though the figures suggest economic activity is broadly holding up, he said, the recent recovery was "on borrowed time" as Beijing tried to rein in runaway lending and housing prices.

- Loans surge -

The booming property market and loose lending supported the latest GDP figures, Claire Huang of Societe Generale told AFP, adding that new house-buying regulations and necessary credit tightening meant "the downturn will become even more obvious" in the fourth quarter and next year.

Data released Tuesday showed new loans by Chinese banks in September surged nearly 30 percent over the previous month, deepening concern about risky credit expansion.

Earlier this month the International Monetary Fund warned that China's dependence on debt was growing at a "dangerous pace" and risked a "disruptive adjustment" in the financial system.

That came after the Bank for International Settlements -- dubbed the central bank of central banks -- warned China's banking sector could be facing an imminent debt crisis, fuelling fresh fears of a blowout that could hit the global financial system.

China's industrial output growth eased to 6.1 percent on-year in September, down from 6.3 percent in August, government data also showed Wednesday, as sluggish global demand weighed on the world's biggest trader in goods.

A slowdown in the supply chain of electronic goods dragged on production, ANZ analysts said, noting a particular slide in making mobile phones.

But retail sales, a key measure of consumer spending, rose 10.7 percent on-year last month, representing a slight acceleration from August.

Fixed-asset investment, a gauge of infrastructure spending, rose 8.2 percent in the first nine months of the year.

The figures showed that crude steel production rose 3.9 percent on-year in September, despite repeated pledges to cut overcapacity and excess production in the industry, which is dominated by bloated state-owned enterprises.

NBS spokesman Sheng said that rising prices for coal and steel had given loss-making firms a lifeline, noting that "those companies that need to be closed down have resumed their production, because they are making profit again".

Looking ahead, Beijing will shift its focus from GDP to tackling excess capacity and massive corporate debt, ANZ analysts said in a note.

Investors took the figures in their stride with the benchmark Shanghai Composite Index fractionally higher by the noon break Wednesday.


Thanks for being here;
We need your help. The SpaceDaily news network continues to grow but revenues have never been harder to maintain.

With the rise of Ad Blockers, and Facebook - our traditional revenue sources via quality network advertising continues to decline. And unlike so many other news sites, we don't have a paywall - with those annoying usernames and passwords.

Our news coverage takes time and effort to publish 365 days a year.

If you find our news sites informative and useful then please consider becoming a regular supporter or for now make a one off contribution.
SpaceDaily Contributor
$5 Billed Once


credit card or paypal
SpaceDaily Monthly Supporter
$5 Billed Monthly


paypal only


.


Related Links
The Economy






Comment on this article via your Facebook, Yahoo, AOL, Hotmail login.

Share this article via these popular social media networks
del.icio.usdel.icio.us DiggDigg RedditReddit GoogleGoogle

Previous Report
POLITICAL ECONOMY
China data and US banks propel equities higher
New York (AFP) Oct 14, 2016
Global stocks rose Friday on upbeat Chinese data and solid earnings by US banks, with London's benchmark index headed back towards its record-high level. Gains were strongest among stock markets in the eurozone, while a rally on Wall Street lost steam as the dollar gained on other major currencies. "This is really the warmup to earnings season," said Art Hogan, chief market strategist at ... read more


POLITICAL ECONOMY
Pushing the boundaries of magnet design

Polymer breakthrough to improve things we use everyday

Efficiency plus versatility

Achieving ultra-low friction without oil additives

POLITICAL ECONOMY
Arizona aerospace company wins $19M Navy satellite contract

Canada defence dept selects Newtec for first DVB-S2X Airborne Modem

TeleCommunications Systems continues USMC satellite services

SES unveils new tactical surveillance and communications solution

POLITICAL ECONOMY
Ariane 5 ready for first Galileo payload

ILS Announces Two Missions under Its EUTELSAT Multi-Launch Agreement

More commercial spaceports going ahead

Orbital ATK and Stratolaunch partner to offer competitive launch opportunities

POLITICAL ECONOMY
Australia's coordinates out by more than 1.5 metres: scientist

US Air Force awards Lockheed Martin $395M Contract for two GPS 3 satellites

SMC exercises contract options to procure two additional GPS III satellites

Lockheed gets $395 million GPS III Space Vehicle contract modification

POLITICAL ECONOMY
US claims trade victory over China over business jet tax

MH370 hunters to probe underwater objects: Australia

Poland plans new tender for helicopters after Airbus row

L-3 unit begins KC-10 tanker support

POLITICAL ECONOMY
Sandia, Harvard team create first quantum computer bridge

Infrared brings to light nanoscale molecular arrangement

Researchers develop DNA-based single-electron electronic devices

Researchers use novel materials to build smallest transistor

POLITICAL ECONOMY
Airbus Defence and Space-built PeruSAT-1 delivers first images

Data improves hurricane forecasts, but uncertainties remain

NASA maps help gauge Italy earthquake damage

Magnetic oceans and electric Earth

POLITICAL ECONOMY
Scientists discover supramolecule could help reduce nuclear waste

Coffee-infused foam removes lead from contaminated water

Great Pacific Garbage Patch aerial survey yields bad news

Washing clothes releases 1000s of microplastic particles into environment









The content herein, unless otherwise known to be public domain, are Copyright 1995-2024 - Space Media Network. All websites are published in Australia and are solely subject to Australian law and governed by Fair Use principals for news reporting and research purposes. AFP, UPI and IANS news wire stories are copyright Agence France-Presse, United Press International and Indo-Asia News Service. ESA news reports are copyright European Space Agency. All NASA sourced material is public domain. Additional copyrights may apply in whole or part to other bona fide parties. All articles labeled "by Staff Writers" include reports supplied to Space Media Network by industry news wires, PR agencies, corporate press officers and the like. Such articles are individually curated and edited by Space Media Network staff on the basis of the report's information value to our industry and professional readership. Advertising does not imply endorsement, agreement or approval of any opinions, statements or information provided by Space Media Network on any Web page published or hosted by Space Media Network. General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR) Statement Our advertisers use various cookies and the like to deliver the best ad banner available at one time. All network advertising suppliers have GDPR policies (Legitimate Interest) that conform with EU regulations for data collection. By using our websites you consent to cookie based advertising. If you do not agree with this then you must stop using the websites from May 25, 2018. Privacy Statement. Additional information can be found here at About Us.