Subscribe free to our newsletters via your
. Space Industry and Business News .




POLITICAL ECONOMY
Outside View: EU bailout is no cure
by Peter Morici
College Park, Md. (UPI) Jun 12, 2012


disclaimer: image is for illustration purposes only

Pressured by other EU governments, Spain has asked the European Union for $125 billion in aid to bail out its banks. European leaders say this amount well exceeds what is needed but they are miscalculating.

As with Greece, the aid package is likely too little to permanently quell investor fears that Spain's banks will collapse and conditions imposed by Germany could make Spain's situation worse.

Spain's predicament is wholly different from Greece and Italy -- its government is hardly inclined to spend too much.

Prior to the global financial crisis, Spain enjoyed a boom in tourism and home construction, as richer northern Europeans sought vacations and second homes in its sunny climate. Robust construction and tourism drove growth and provided Madrid with adequate taxes. Unlike Rome and Athens, Madrid enjoyed persistent budget surpluses.

Foreigners invested in Spanish bank securities and the latter financed a hotel and housing boom. In the wake of the financial crisis, loans defaulted and Spanish banks were stuck with non-performing real estate loans.

Unlike the U.S. Federal Reserve, Spain's central bank cannot print money to mop up bad loans and the European Central Bank isn't empowered to bail out banks and impose reforms.

Hence, Spain's national government had to borrow euro in international bond markets to save its banks.

With real estate loans totaling more than $827 billion, or about 65 percent of gross domestic product, the cash that must be raised is simply beyond the borrowing capacity of the Spanish government.

The International Monetary Fund estimates Spain's banks need $50 billion in new capital and as much as $125 billion to write off bad loans. Moreover, as we have learned from the U.S. crisis, first estimates of losses are likely conservative -- those numbers will grow.

Madrid's borrowing costs may drop on announcement of the $125 billion package but international capital markets will soon conclude it is too small and Spain's government and banks will again face prohibitive borrowing rates.

In addition, Germany and other northern creditor states would like to impose strict restructuring conditions on Spanish banks -- prescribing mergers and restructuring and winding down the weakest banks.

Outside meddling in this process could further weaken Spain's banks and economy by resulting in unnecessary absorption of its bank by Germans, Dutch and others financial institutions -- forced sales could make Spanish banks targets of opportunity for bigger EU banks.

Historically, Spain's banks have been well-run and effectively regulated. Spain's current fix is much like Florida or Nevada after the big Wall Street banks inflated U.S. housing values by underwriting irresponsible mortgages through networks of unscrupulous mortgage brokers.

Simply, Spain's resort industry, home values and banks are collateral damage of the wider global crisis and European recession. Indeed, the IMF, in a detailed report published May 30, found the core of Spanish banking sound, regulation generally effective and needed restructuring well under way.

Spain doesn't run its banks the way Italy and Greece ran their national finances and it doesn't need German meddling in its financial institutions.

The IMF has noted the need for greater clarity for recapitalization strategies, bank restructuring timetables and certain improvements in bank oversight but Spain isn't running a loosely regulated Third World financial system.

As Germany is the largest country donor to the bailout fund, its interests and reservations are understandable. However, it would be better to empower the ECB to back up the $125 billion bailout allocation, much as the Federal Reserve backed up the Trouble Asset Relief Program and for the ECB to oversee use of the funds and implementation of IMF recommendations.

(Peter Morici is an economist and professor at the Smith School of Business, University of Maryland, and widely published columnist.)

(United Press International's "Outside View" commentaries are written by outside contributors who specialize in a variety of important issues. The views expressed do not necessarily reflect those of United Press International. In the interests of creating an open forum, original submissions are invited.)

.


Related Links
The Economy






Comment on this article via your Facebook, Yahoo, AOL, Hotmail login.

Share this article via these popular social media networks
del.icio.usdel.icio.us DiggDigg RedditReddit GoogleGoogle








POLITICAL ECONOMY
China industrial output grows disappointing 9.6%
Beijing (AFP) June 9, 2012
China's industrial output grew at a slower-than-expected 9.6 percent year-on-year in May, a faster clip than the previous month but still near three-year-lows, the government said Saturday. While production from the country's millions of factories and workshops was stronger than the 9.3 percent expansion seen in April, it was still lower than forecasts of a 9.9 percent gain in a Dow Jones Ne ... read more


POLITICAL ECONOMY
New circuits work in high radiation levels

Apple maps a path to mobile throne

How does Dolomite form

Amazon offer Cloud Player app for iPhone

POLITICAL ECONOMY
Northrop Grumman Develops, Demonstrates SmartNode Pod

IGC and 3Di Team Up to Support Iraqi Military Network

Indian border force eyes sat-phone upgrade

India Plans To Launch First Military Satellite

POLITICAL ECONOMY
NuSTAR Arrives at Island Launch Site

Another Ariane 5 begins its initial build-up at the Spaceport

Boeing Receives DARPA Airborne Satellite Launch Study Contract

Sea Launch Delivers the Intelsat 19 Spacecraft into Orbit

POLITICAL ECONOMY
Apple fends off Android challenge with maps, Siri

Boeing, Raytheon and Harris to Pursue GPS Control Segment Sustainment Contract

Revamped Google maps goes offline for mobile

USAF Awards Lockheed Martin GPS III Flight Operations Contract

POLITICAL ECONOMY
Air industry head asks EU to postpone carbon tax

Iraqi Airways looks to update fleet

Medvedev confirms fifth-generation bomber

China says to build 70 new airports by 2015

POLITICAL ECONOMY
SFU helps quantum computers move closer

Rice, UCLA slash energy needs for next-generation memory

Unique approach to materials allows temperature-stable circuits

Integrated sensors handle extreme conditions

POLITICAL ECONOMY
UH research team uses airborne LiDAR to unveil Honduran archaeological ruins

Apple unveils maps program, challenging Google

Taking action for GMES

CryoSat goes to sea

POLITICAL ECONOMY
'Mysterious' haze blankets Chinese metropolis

German agency to incinerate Bhopal waste: India

Brazilian slum's green oasis a boon to recycling

Sao Paulo environment czar roots for cities at Rio+20




The content herein, unless otherwise known to be public domain, are Copyright 1995-2014 - Space Media Network. AFP, UPI and IANS news wire stories are copyright Agence France-Presse, United Press International and Indo-Asia News Service. ESA Portal Reports are copyright European Space Agency. All NASA sourced material is public domain. Additional copyrights may apply in whole or part to other bona fide parties. Advertising does not imply endorsement,agreement or approval of any opinions, statements or information provided by Space Media Network on any Web page published or hosted by Space Media Network. Privacy Statement