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OIL AND GAS
Oil prices tank on word of no "Grexit"
by Daniel J. Graeber
New York (UPI) Jul 13, 2015


Oil prices drop as dollar firms on Greek bailout deal
New York (AFP) July 13, 2015 - Oil prices slipped Monday as traders weighed reported progress in negotiations on Iran's nuclear program, Greece's tough bailout agreement with its European creditors and a mixed OPEC report.

US benchmark West Texas Intermediate (WTI) for August delivery closed at $52.20 a barrel in New York trade, down 54 cents from Friday's settlement.

Brent North Sea crude for August shed 88 cents at $57.86 in London.

"The crude oil market is on the defensive in Monday trade as investors sort through the headlines since Friday," said Tim Evans of Citi Futures.

Marathon talks between six major powers and Iran over Tehran's nuclear program were making "real progress" but issues remained, the United States said Monday, suggesting the Vienna talks would stretch into another day.

A deal could result in the lifting of sanctions that have sharply curbed Iran's oil exports.

The oil market is "wary that an Iranian nuclear deal could mean more supply, although it won't be right away," said Evans.

Greece's bailout deal meanwhile lifted the dollar, which makes dollar-priced crude oil less attractive to buyers using other currencies.

"Oil traders are more concerned that the euro is weaker and the dollar stronger on the news," said Evans.

Meanwhile in its July monthly report, OPEC raised its forecast for growth in crude demand this year by 100,000 barrels to 1.28 million barrels per day.

In 2016, demand is expected to pick up by 1.34 million barrels per day, hitting 93.94 million barrels per day, thanks to stronger economic growth, according to the OPEC report.

"OPEC raised its demand forecast... but with the stout supply picture, the market still has a bearish sentiment to price," said Brian Swan, commodity analyst at Schneider Electric.

Major crude oil indices started trading Monday off more than 1 percent after a last-minute save for Greece and emerging prospects for an Iranian nuclear deal.

"There will not be a 'Grexit,'" European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker said after negotiators wrapped up a marathon negotiating session to help right the Greek economic ship.

A troubled Greek economy was in part behind factors pushing the European economy into recession during the last global financial crisis. European leaders had said the situation was less risky this time around, as the regional economy continues to show steady growth potential.

In exchange for a pledge of reforms, Greece secured a $39 billion support package, which Juncker said would stimulate economic growth and strengthen the Greek labor market.

Brent crude oil prices fell 1.8 percent in early Monday trading to $57.70 per barrel, down more than 8 percent from July 1. West Texas Intermediate, the U.S. benchmark, was down 1.2 percent to $52.11 per barrel, off more than 12 percent from the start of the month.

Crude oil prices are dropping off as oil supplies outweigh demand. The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries said it expected demand for its crude oil to drop off, though production from Saudi Arabia, the biggest contributor, reached a level not seen since the 1980s.

OPEC said demand from China, whose stock market crashed last week, should decline along with its economy. Chinese economic growth is expected to slow from 6.9 percent in 2015 to 6.5 percent next year.

More oil could come to the international market if negotiators in Vienna sign off on a final nuclear package with Iran. Any deal could release the sanctions leash from Iran, which is limited to about half of its oil export potential.

Iranian President Hassan Rouhani plans a late Monday address to the people in what could be an announcement on a breakthrough in Vienna. Hossein Hashemi, the governor general of Tehran, said preparations were under way for street celebrations.

"We support public jubilation for success of the nuclear negotiators," he said Monday.


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