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OIL AND GAS
Oil prices mixed post-selloff
by Daniel J. Graeber
Washington (UPI) Feb 7, 2018

Fear factor drives the price of oil lower
Washington (UPI) Feb 6, 2018 - Expectations of a build in oil and gasoline inventories and broad-based stock market concerns sent the price of oil into negative territory early Tuesday.

Crude oil prices followed major stock indices lower on Monday in what wound up being one of the worst selloffs on the Dow. Markets in Asia followed U.S. markets, with Japan's Nikkei index closing down about 4.7 percent. London's FTSE is trending lower before the close and most futures point to another down day on Wall Street.

Phil Flynn, the senior market analyst for the PRICE Futures Group in Chicago, said it's unclear if the reversal is a market correction, or a sign of broader issues driven by inflationary fears.

"Of course, when you're driven by fear and algorithms it's hard to find stability," he said in a daily commentary. "Oil is being driven down by fear and not reality as demand so far is exceptional."

The price for Brent crude oil was down 1.24 percent as of 9:20 a.m. EST to $66.78 per barrel. West Texas Intermediate, the U.S. benchmark for the price of oil, was down 1.2 percent to $63.38 per barrel.

The price for oil will likely be determined late in the trading morning when the U.S. Energy Information Administration releases an annual market report. EIA reported total U.S. crude oil production passed 10 million barrels per day and an early read of the report Tuesday said to expect rising production and relatively flat consumption.

Meanwhile, commodity pricing group S&P Global Platts said it expects data to show crude oil stocks in the United States increased 2.8 million barrels and gasoline rose 200,000 barrels.

On inflationary pressures, the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development reported net inflation for the world's industrialized economy slowed 0.1 percent from November to 2.3 percent.

"Excluding food and energy, inflation increased slightly to 1.9 percent, compared with 1.8 percent in November," the OECD stated.

Elsewhere, British energy company BP said it turned in one of its strongest performances to date in the fourth quarter. The company's full-year profit of $6.2 billion was more than double the previous year and full-year production was the highest since 2010.

Speaking ahead of fourth quarter earnings, meanwhile, Total Chairman CEO Patrick Pouyanné told French newspaper Le Monde there were no guarantees that the price of oil will stay at its relatively high level.

"There are still many unknowns on the oil markets," he said.

Crude oil prices were mixed early Wednesday on signs that U.S. shale oil growth accelerated, but the downturn was moderated by a good EU economic outlook.

The U.S. Energy Information Administration reported total January crude oil production averaged 10.2 million barrels of oil per day, an increase of 100,000 barrels per day from December. An average of 10.6 million barrels per day is expected for the year, meaning the United States is now expected to produce more than Saudi Arabia.

Saudi Arabia is producing just under 10 million barrels per day, according to S&P Global Platts. Saudi Arabia is the de facto leader of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its effort to trim a market surplus with coordinated production cuts. Total OPEC production in January was around 32.5 million barrels per day, below its ceiling of around 32.7 million barrels per day.

OPEC's effort, now in its second year, has put a floor under the price of oil at around $50 per barrel, but gains so far this year have led to concerns that U.S. oil production would offset some of the cuts. In a separate report, Platts in its gauge of exploration and production in the Lower 48 found most states with rich shale oil reserves were seeing increased activity, not just Texas.

Steady gains in U.S. crude oil production could lead to supply-side concerns, though, recent stock market contractions aside, the general sense is that the global economy is on solid footing and could soak up the extra oil. The European Commission on Wednesday reported that combined gross domestic product for the countries that use the euro currency, and other member states, grew 2.4 percent last year..

"Europe's economy has entered 2018 in robust health," Pierre Moscovici, the European commissioner for economic and financial affairs, said in a statement.

Crude oil prices fluttered around even territory in the early morning hours. The price for Brent crude oil was up 0.13 percent as of 9:18 a.m. EST to $66.95 per barrel. West Texas Intermediate, the U.S. benchmark for the price of oil, was down 0.32 percent to $63.19 per barrel.

Crude oil prices followed broader markets lower in the first few trading sessions of February, following a steady run in bullish territory for most of the previous month.

Paul Traub, a senior business economist at the Detroit branch of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, told UPI not to read too much into the dramatic swings in stock markets over the last few days.

"Equity markets are not the economy and right now most economic fundamentals look good for continued growth," he said. "Demand for oil should not change based on the stock market as commodity prices are a function of supply and demand."


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OIL AND GAS
Fear and diplomacy fuel Qatar's military spending
Doha (AFP) Feb 2, 2018
Since the Qatar diplomatic crisis started, one response by the emirate has become increasingly clear - Doha is using its extraordinary wealth to fund a massive push in defence spending. A flurry of military contracts have followed since Saudi Arabia and its allies dramatically cut all ties with Qatar last June, accusing the 2022 World Cup host of sponsoring terrorism and cosying up to Riyadh's bitter regional rival, Iran. Isolated by and increasingly vulnerable to its more powerful neighbours, ... read more

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