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OIL AND GAS
Oil prices in slow-drip decline
by Daniel J. Graeber
New York (UPI) Jun 25, 2015


Oil prices mixed after falling
London (AFP) June 25, 2015 - Oil prices were mixed Thursday after falls the previous day caused by high US output, while the market also tracked talks concerning Iran's nuclear programme.

US benchmark West Texas Intermediate for August delivery fell 23 cents to $60.04 from Wednesday's close.

Brent North Sea crude for August edged up three cents to stand at $63.52 a barrel in London midday deals.

Prices had fallen Wednesday as the weekly US energy inventory report showed domestic output remaining at a high level.

Meanwhile crude stockpiles, though down 4.9 million barrels, were still at a near-record 463 million barrels.

Oil prices slumped by more than half in value between last June and the start of this year but have since been largely steady.

"Looking at the market from a somewhat greater distance and ignoring the daily fluctuations, the market has actually seen little movement of late," Commerzbank analysts said in a note to clients on Thursday.

Sanjeev Gupta, head of the Asia-Pacific oil and gas practice at business consultancy EY, meanwhile said dealers are also expecting an "extension of the Iran nuclear talks," which could see it returning to the world stage as an important oil producer.

However, it "seems increasingly likely as the parties involved signalled doubt about being able to resolve all the issues by the 30 June deadline", added Gupta.

Six global powers are trying to nail down a deal to curb Iran's nuclear ambitions by reducing its stockpiles of enriched uranium and mothballing some of its sites.

If the agreement is implemented, the powers have agreed to gradually scale back sanctions imposed since 2012, including on its petroleum industry.

Iran has the world's fourth-largest oil reserves but its exports have fallen from more than 2.2 million barrels per day in 2011 to about 1.3 million because of the sanctions.

Mixed economic news from the United States left crude oil prices drifting lower Thursday, though momentum could shift on any market return from Iran.

Brent crude oil prices hit $63.11 per barrel in early Thursday trading, down about a half a percent from the previous session. West Texas Intermediate, the U.S. benchmark, lost more than three quarters of a percent to $59.77 per barrel. Both indices are down at least $1 per barrel from the start of June.

Crude oil prices are up from early 2015 levels below the $50 per barrel mark as concerns about an oversupplied market ease. General global economic growth has accounted for some of the supply take-up, though momentum has been slow.

The U.S. Commerce Department said Thursday consumer spending rose 0.9 percent in May, posting its biggest monthly gain since August 2009. The Labor Department, meanwhile, said the number of claims for unemployment insurance increased 3,000 to a seasonally adjusted 271,000 for the week ending June 20. That's a second straight week of losses, though the national unemployment rate is in line with what's considered a good labor market.

On the supply side, federal data show U.S. oil production last week reached 9.6 million bpd while stockpiles continue to indicate increased demand in the domestic marketplace.

Crude oil prices collapsed last year as U.S. production pushed markets heavily toward the supply side. Members of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries have vowed to keep production levels stable, however, on expectations of increased demand.

European leaders this week acknowledged they've reached out to Iran, anticipating some relief from nuclear-related sanctions. Iran is limited to about 1 million bpd in exports under existing sanctions, about half of its full potential.

Analysis from Wood Mackenzie finds Iran could add as much as 600,000 new barrels per day to the global market by the end of 2017 if sanctions are lifted. A gradual release of Iranian crude, however, "is not expected to have a significant downward effect on oil prices," the report said.


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