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OIL AND GAS
Oil prices drop on potential Iranian oil for China
by Daniel J. Graeber
New York (UPI) Apr 7, 2015


Oil prices slip after Iran-fuelled rally
London (AFP) April 7, 2015 - Oil prices fell Tuesday, with profit-taking in evidence a day after the market rallied on doubts over an agreement with Iran over the crude producer's nuclear programme, traders said.

US benchmark West Texas Intermediate (WTI) for delivery in May dropped 64 cents to $51.50 a barrel compared with Monday's close.

Brent North Sea crude for May lost 46 cents to $57.66 in midday trade.

The contracts had surged by three dollars each on Monday.

"The current decline in oil prices is most likely due to profit-taking," Ken Hasegawa, energy trading manager at Newedge Group, told AFP.

Analysts attributed the steep gains on Monday to investors concluding that the nuclear framework agreed between Iran and international powers will have a minimal near-term effect on global crude supplies.

The deal Tehran agreed with the United States, Britain, China, France and Russia plus Germany paves the way for the Islamic republic to curtail its nuclear activity in exchange for relief from punishing economic sanctions, including on oil investment.

"Most traders were waiting on Iran nuclear talks to cause a flood in Iranian oil as sanctions get lifted," said Daniel Ang, investment analyst at Phillip Futures in Singapore.

"However, the tone from the US seems firm and this means that sanctions would only be lifted slowly," he added.

Iran has the world's fourth-largest oil reserves but its exports have fallen from more than 2.2 million barrels per day in 2011 to about 1.3 million because of the US-EU sanctions, which were put in place to prevent it building a nuclear bomb.

Iranian diplomacy again influenced oil prices, with indices drifting lower Tuesday in response to Tehran's efforts to sell more of its crude oil to China.

Reactions to multilateral efforts to address concerns about Iran's nuclear ambitions were fluid last week, with crude oil prices rising and falling in response to the status of negotiations in Switzerland. With a framework agreement that could spell sanctions relief in hand, Iranian officials have expressed optimism about putting more of the country's crude oil on the international market.

Iranian Oil Minister Bijan Zangeneh announced plans to head to Beijing later this week to discuss oil sales in the Chinese market, his first such visit since taking office in 2013. Iran counts China as one of its largest oil customers in the sanctions era.

Iran is limited to around 1 million barrels per day worth of oil exports under the existing sanctions regime. That's about half of its capacity and more Iranian crude oil could pressure a market already favoring the supply side.

Brent crude oil prices lost about a full percent from Monday's close to sell for around $57.50 per barrel in early trading Tuesday. Brent crude oil prices are up, however, by about 4 percent from last week, when Iranian nuclear negotiations were in full swing.

Prices are at the point where energy companies are forced to spend less on exploration and production. Goldman Sachs in a research note published late Monday said oil prices will need to stay depressed for a longer period of time in order to slow U.S. oil production growth substantially.

Oil services company Baker Hughes last week reported the number of rigs actively exploring for or producing oil and natural gas in the United States was 1,028 for the week ending April 2, down 43 percent year-on-year.

The price for West Texas Intermediate, the U.S. benchmark, declined more than 1.5 percent to $51.31 per barrel early Tuesday.


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