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OIL AND GAS
Oil prices down after lacklustre Chinese trade data
by Staff Writers
Singapore (AFP) Dec 08, 2014


BP latest to take hit on oil prices
London (UPI) Dec 8, 2014 - British energy company BP said it will be able to tread water in the current oil price market, though some layoffs may be on the horizon.

"Head counts are starting to come down across all of our activities in upstream, downstream and in the corporate centers, essentially the layers above operations," BP Finance Director Brian Gilvary was quoted as saying Saturday by the Telegraph newspaper in London.

BP is expected to highlight its exploration and production plans for the next five years in a Wednesday presentation. A 35 percent decline in crude oil prices since June has dampened the investment expectations of BP's rivals.

Last month, Marathon Oil reported that double-digit production growth from North American shale basins wasn't enough of a buffer against low oil prices. Third-quarter earnings were down $138 million in 2013 to $431 million.

Gilvary said BP could cope with an oil price as low as $60 per barrel, though BP Chief Executive Officer Bob Dudley said the company was working on a "simplification plan" in the bear market for crude oil.

The British government in February said it was moving forward with recommendations from retired businessman Ian Wood, who led a panel tasked with finding ways to breathe new life into North Sea oil reserve basins.

Oil production from the North Sea has been in decline since the late 1990s. Government data show a decline of 7 percent from last year.

Crude hit fresh five-year-lows Monday following another weak batch of trade data out of China, while prices were also pressured by the strengthening dollar, analysts said.

US benchmark West Texas Intermediate (WTI) for January delivery was down 76 cents at $65.08 in afternoon trade. Brent crude slipped 87 cents to $68.20.

WTI is sitting at its lowest point since July 2009 and Brent is at lows not seen since October 2009, with the contract continuing to be hurt by OPEC's decision last month to maintain output despite a global supply glut.

"Investors are casting their eye on the Chinese trade data at the moment... weakness could mean pressure on Brent," said David Lennox, resource analyst at Fat Prophets in Sydney.

China said Monday that exports grew just 4.7 percent year-on-year to $211.66 billion in November while imports dropped 6.7 percent to $157.19 billion.

Analysts had expected exports to grow 8.0 percent and imports to expand 3.9 percent.

Falling commodity prices, including oil, which has slumped by about 40 percent since June, "will have weighed on the value of commodity imports", research house Capital Economics said in a note.

"The sharp fall (in Chinese imports) also hints at a further cooling of domestic demand," it said.

Trade figures out of China, the world's top energy consumer, are closely watched for their impact on crude prices, especially the more internationally leveraged Brent contract.

The latest figures come as China struggles with weakness in its industrial and financial sectors, prompting the country's central bank last month to cut benchmark interest rates for the first time in more than two years.

Oil prices have also been hit by a pick-up in the dollar, which surged Friday in reaction to figures showing the US economy created 321,000 jobs in November, its best monthly performance in nearly three years.

The dollar was at 121.52 yen on Monday compared with 121.44 yen in New York Friday afternoon.

A stronger greenback makes dollar-priced oil more expensive for buyers using weaker currencies, denting demand and pushing prices lower.

No floor yet for Brent crude oil
New York (UPI) Dec 8, 2014 - With analysts slashing expectations, Brent crude oil prices dropped Monday to their lowest price in more than five years as the search for bottom continues.

Brent, a global benchmark based on North Sea oils, was off nearly $2 per barrel in early trading to post $67.14 for the January contract. That's the lowest price for Brent since October 2009 and a sign markets have yet to see the end to their declines.

The dip follows a Friday note from Morgan Stanley that expected Brent to settle at $70 for 2015, down more than 25 percent from its previous expectations.

A similar report in October from Goldman Sachs erased more than $1 per barrel for both Brent and West Texas Intermediate, the U.S. benchmark.

Oil prices have shed about 35 percent of their value since June. Recent slumps are in response to a decision from the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries to keep production static at 30 million barrels per day, despite low prices.

More oil from North American shale basins, coupled with weak economic recovery globally, means supply outweighs demands.

The January contract for WTI early Monday sold for $64.48, down more than $1.30 per barrel from the previous session.

WTI prices are approaching the point at which some U.S. drillers may struggle to make a profit, though a report last week from Baker Hughes found few signs of a slowdown in the Lower 48.


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