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POLITICAL ECONOMY
More stimulus measures seen as China boosts economy
by Staff Writers
Shanghai (AFP) Sept 17, 2014


China launches gold market to bolster fortunes of FTZ
Shanghai (AFP) Sept 18, 2014 - China, one of the world's biggest gold consumers, on Thursday launched a new market for trading the precious metal, state media said, as it seeks to attract foreign investors to a year-old free trade zone (FTZ).

The Shanghai Gold Exchange launched an international board in the city's FTZ in hopes that it might eventually challenge global gold markets like New York and London, the official Xinhua news agency reported.

The move came just ahead of the one year anniversary of the founding of the zone and days after authorities removed a top official running it amid media reports he was under investigation for corruption.

When China launched the FTZ last September, officials promised widespread reform including free convertibility of the yuan currency, but the slow pace of change has frustrated businesses, especially foreign companies.

Chinese Premier Li Keqiang toured the FTZ on Thursday, Shanghai authorities said, a visit viewed as a central government show of support for the pilot project.

The international board will trade spot gold among members, including foreign financial institutions, Xinhua and industry officials said.

The existing Shanghai Gold Exchange, opened in 2002, includes only a handful of foreign members, making it largely closed to overseas investors.

"The international board has made China's opening up of the gold market a reality," exchange chairman Xu Luode was quoted by Xinhua as saying.

An exchange spokesman, Gu Wenshuo, declined to give details.

Industry officials said contracts on the international board will be denominated in China's yuan, but overseas investors will be able to settle with offshore yuan funds as the government seeks to make the currency more widely used.

The market will also allow gold from overseas to be warehoused in the FTZ and used for physical delivery of the metal, they said.

"Opening up this international board allows more international participants, who would like to participate in the China market," said Albert Cheng, Far East managing director for the World Gold Council.

"This is the ambition of the Shanghai Gold Exchange, to further open up the market to global players -- either suppliers or investors," he told AFP.

Mainland China's consumer demand for gold was the second biggest in the world in the second quarter of this year at 192.5 tonnes, behind only India, and accounting for around a quarter of global demand, according the World Gold Council.

The exchange set the price for a new benchmark contract, iAu99.5, at 245.28 yuan ($40) per gram before the start of trade, according to a statement.

The international gold price was at $1,223.00 an ounce (31.1 grams) Thursday morning in London.

A reported $81 billion injection into China's major banks is probably the first of a series of fresh stimulus measures by Beijing to bolster its flagging economy, the world's second largest, analysts said Wednesday.

Online portal Sina late Tuesday quoted financial institutions as saying the People's Bank of China (PBoC), the central bank, would channel 500 billion yuan ($81 billion) into the country's five biggest banks, all state-owned. The PBoC has not confirmed the move.

"We believe Beijing (is) to introduce a slew of other easing and stimulus measures in coming weeks to re-boost confidence and re-stabilise growth," said Bank of America Merrill Lynch China economist Lu Ting.

Expected measures include "targeted" cuts in the amount of funds banks must place in reserve, speeding up development projects and quicker fiscal spending, he said in a research note.

Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index closed up 1.0 percent on Wednesday on the report.

Mainland China's two stock markets were less impressed, with the benchmark Shanghai Composite Index finishing 0.49 percent higher and the tech-heavy Shenzhen Composite Index gaining 0.66 percent.

US stocks earlier reacted to the report on Tuesday with the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising 0.59 percent to 17,131.97 points and the broad-based S&P 500 up 0.75 percent at 1,998.98.

The Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, Bank of China, China Construction Bank, Agricultural Bank of China and Bank of Communications will receive the funds in equal amounts over three months through the central bank's so-called Standing Lending Facility, a tool it uses to manage short-term liquidity, Sina and analysts said.

The report follows a string of weak data for August, including a five-year low for industrial output growth and a surprise drop in imports, which have put in peril the government's target of 7.5 percent annual economic expansion for this year.

"Such a move highlights the fact that China's policymakers are sensitive to the significant weakening seen in the August activity data and the move would be in line with our call that monetary policy will be eased further to boost the economy," Nomura said in a research note.

- 'Property downturn' -

China's gross domestic product grew 7.5 percent year-on-year in the second quarter this year, improving from 7.4 percent in the first quarter, which was the worst since a similar 7.4 percent result in July-September 2012.

But some analysts played down the impact of the anticipated move.

"The impact of such a move on boosting corporate investment and supporting real economic growth will be relatively limited in our view, as the property downturn continues to worsen, excess capacity accumulates and business outlook remains weak," said Wang Tao, head of China economic research at investment bank UBS.

Analysts said the scale of the injection was equivalent to around a 0.50 percentage point cut in the reserve requirements for banks, the amount of funds they are required to set aside.

"We expect monetary conditions to loosen modestly, which will provide some much-needed support for demand growth," Goldman Sachs said in a research note.

Although further measures are anticipated, analysts said, some rejected the possibility of China cutting reserve requirements across the board or slashing interest rates.

China's central bank set up the Standing Lending Facility in 2013 to meet liquidity demands from banks, typically from a one- to three-month period, using it in both June and September last year, as well as in January.

The PBoC only reports use of the lending facility on a quarterly basis.

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