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Keystone approval spells headache for Canada's Trudeau
By Michel COMTE
Ottawa (AFP) March 25, 2017


Key facts about controversial Keystone XL pipeline
Washington (AFP) March 24, 2017 - US President Donald Trump on Friday approved the construction of the controversial Keystone XL oil pipeline between Canada and the United States following years of bitter and politically-charged debate.

The move reverses a decision in 2015 by his predecessor Barack Obama to block the project, which was first proposed in 2008.

Here are key facts about the project:

What is Keystone XL?

Keystone XL was an expansion of TransCanada's existing system to funnel bitumen from Alberta's oil sands to refineries on the US Gulf Coast.

The portion blocked by the Obama administration was a $5.3 billion proposal to build a 1,179-mile (1,900 kilometer) pipeline from Alberta, Canada to Nebraska.

The pipeline would carry 830,000 barrels of oil per day.

Why is it so controversial?

For many, the objections to the pipeline were a proxy for their fight against climate change. Environmental activists say Alberta's oil sands are the "dirtiest" oil on the planet. Unlike traditional crude which gushes from a well, bitumen from the oil sands must be dug up or extracted by underground heating, essentially using steaming hot water to separate it from the sandstone before it can be refined.

This means more fossil fuels need to be burned as part of the extraction process, which further contributes to climate change.

It also takes vast amounts of water resources and results in huge ponds of polluted water and the strip-mining of once-pristine boreal forests.

The oil sands underlie 142,000 square kilometers (55,000 square miles) but the industry says only two percent of the surface area is affected by open pit mines.

Environmentalists argue that crude bitumen also contains a corrosive component, which makes pipeline ruptures or leaks more likely and carries greater health and safety risks.

Economic impact?

TransCanada says Keystone would provide a $3.4 billion boost to US gross domestic product (GDP), including $55.6 billion in annual property taxes spread across 27 counties in three states.

The State Department estimated the route would create 42,000 temporary jobs over a two-year construction period.

Opponents note that less than 50 permanent jobs would be created for pipeline maintenance and argued that the project would kill more jobs than it creates by diverting investment away from more labor-intensive green energy alternatives like wind and solar power.

Energy security

TransCanada argued that bringing another 830,000 barrels of oil a day from friendly, neighboring Canada would reduce US dependence on the Middle East and Venezuela by up to 40 percent.

Safety

TransCanada argued that buried pipelines are far safer for transporting oil than ships or trains and claims to have "one of the best safety records in the industry." It also notes that there are more than 2.6 million miles of oil and gas pipelines in the United States "that deliver 99.9998 percent of their products safely and reliably every day."

The pipeline would be equipped with 21,000 sensors that provide updates every five seconds via satellite and the ability to isolate a problem within minutes through remote-controlled valves.

Critics note the existing Keystone pipeline developed a dozen leaks in its first year of operation.

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau was quick to welcome Washington's approval Friday of a major new pipeline from Canada into the United States, but observers say it creates political headaches for his administration.

Trudeau has sought to strike a balance between two competing policies -- supporting Canada's oil and gas sector, which is the sixth largest in the world, and slashing global-warming greenhouse gases.

In approving the Keystone XL pipeline -- which would move oil from landlocked Alberta, Canada to US Gulf Coast refineries -- US President Donald Trump reversed his predecessor Barack Obama's decision to block it two years ago.

The project had first been proposed in 2008.

In doing so, Trump has reignited a nearly decade-long feud between environmental activists and the energy industry, leaving Trudeau squeezed in the middle.

"I think Trump's decision hurts the Trudeau government," Matthew Hoffmann, co-director of the Munk School's Environmental Governance Lab in Toronto told AFP.

"I think they would have been happy to let Keystone die because of the US and not have to pay the political costs for its approval."

Trudeau's centrist Liberal government remains high in the polls, but critics have highlighted his conflicting climate and economic policies to try to pry open cracks in his armor.

On the one hand he has spoken enthusiastically about the need to stem global warming, but he also recently approved two new domestic pipelines.

It's an awkward position that Trudeau has "desperately clung to," said energy specialist Pierre-Olivier Pineau of HEC school in Montreal.

The approval of the Keystone pipeline, the first and most favored of projects touted by the industry, will however help to shore up his support on the center-right.

And it will help a political ally -- a fledgling progressive government in Alberta led by Rachel Notley. Her New Democrats swept to power for the first time ever in 2015 after four decades of conservative rule.

- Oil sector is gushing -

The Canadian oil and gas sector is naturally pleased about the decision.

Alberta's oil has long been discounted $5-$10 below market values because there had been no way to get it to tidewater, leaving the United States as its sole buyer.

Keystone is expected to carry 830,000 barrels of oil per day, allowing Canada to significantly boost energy exports and demand a better price.

This would bring higher oil royalties and tax revenues at a crucial time when Ottawa is struggling with a large deficit, said Jean Thomas Bernard, an economics professor at the University of Ottawa.

The oil sector had been Canada's top economic driver for years but was hit hard by the oil slump and 2016 wildfires.

"Mr. Trudeau would like the oil sector to return to a high level of activity," Bernard said, in order to refill government coffers.

But there will be pushback from the left, which makes up an estimated 60 percent of Canadian voters. They typically split between the Liberals and a third-ranked socialist party.

"On the left the environmental movement has never bought this notion that we're going to trade progressive climate policies for pipelines," Hoffman said.

"The fact that the US had blocked Keystone allowed Trudeau to sidestep that debate, to some extent," he said.

"Now it's going to raise significant protests on the left and from the environmental movement."

- Climate commitment? -

Trudeau has pledged under the Paris agreement on climate change to eliminate 219 megatonnes of greenhouse gas emissions by 2030 -- a 30 percent reduction from 2005 levels.

Keystone's approval "throws a wrench into his climate commitment," as it is expected to facilitate more oil sand development, Hoffman said.

The oil sands are Canada's top single source of CO2 emissions, and its fastest growing. The oil and gas sector is projected to produce 233 megatonnes by 2030, according to a recent Senate report.

In January, Trudeau was strongly rebuked by Albertans and oil sector executives for suggesting that the oil sands should be "phased out."

In order to blunt criticisms, Trudeau may ramp up climate actions to counter the increased emissions.

Additionally, according to Bernard, the green light for Keystone may ease pressure on Trudeau to approve any more domestic pipelines, including the hotly contested Energy East line from Alberta to the Atlantic Coast.

OIL AND GAS
Libya sets goals for higher oil production
Washington (UPI) Mar 23, 2017
Libya aims to increase crude oil production at some of its fields by 55,000 barrels to the extent that conditions permit, the nation's main oil company stated. Officials with Libya's National Oil Corp. met with representatives from Italian energy company Eni and Mellitah Oil & Gas, which ranks itself as the largest in Libya in terms of production. The NOC said all parties discuss ... read more

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