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NUKEWARS
Iran victory within Obama's reach
By Andrew BEATTY
Washington (AFP) Aug 24, 2015


Iran president says nuclear deal fosters better ties
Tehran (AFP) Aug 24, 2015 - Iran's President Hassan Rouhani said Monday that world powers will eventually look back at last month's nuclear deal as a wise precursor to better relations with the Islamic republic.

His remarks came in a meeting with Britain's Foreign Secretary Philip Hammond, who is on the second and final day of a trip to Tehran.

British and Iranian embassies reopened in Tehran and London on Sunday, the latest step in ending a diplomatic chill stemming from the nuclear crisis and Western-led sanctions against Iran.

The nuclear deal -- which will see those sanctions lifted in exchange a new inspections regime and curbs on Iran's atomic programme -- is due to be implemented in the next few months.

"The negotiating parties will realise in the future that interaction rather than confrontation with Iran was the right approach," the official IRNA news agency quoted Rouhani as saying.

"We consider this agreement as the start of a move toward creating a better situation in international and regional relations."

Hammond said Sunday that recent strife between Britain and Iran -- a hardline mob trashed his country's Tehran embassy in 2011 after banking sanctions were announced, forcing its closure -- were being repaired but it was an evolving process.

"We have come a long way but let's walk first and try to run later," Hammond told reporters at Iran's foreign ministry.

Rouhani echoed that sentiment, alluding Monday to Britain's historical role in Iran -- along with the United States it led a coup that toppled Prime Minister Mohammad Mossadegh in 1953.

"Although a nation's historical judgements cannot be changed quickly in a short period of time, we believe that one should not remain in the past. We should look to the future," Rouhani said.

"By moving forward on different political, economic and regional issues we can guarantee long-term trust."

Hammond, who is accompanied by a small trade delegation, is the first British foreign secretary to visit Iran since Jack Straw in 2003.

European officials have been swift in heading to Iran since July 14, when the nuclear accord with Britain, China, France, Germany, Russia and the United States was announced in Vienna.

Iran's leaders have always denied international allegations that they sought to develop a nuclear weapon, insisting their activities are for peaceful energy and medical purposes.

US President Barack Obama has won the backing of a fresh clutch of senators for his Iran deal, raising the prospect he could yet dodge a humiliating legislative rebuke.

For months, Republicans and rebellious Democrats have looked on course to pass a resolution against the nuclear deal, a stinging rejection of a central Obama foreign policy goal.

But, with 15 Senate Democrats backing the deal in as many days -- including Senate minority leader Harry Reid and Michigan's Debbie Stabenow on Monday -- the White House may dodge a political bullet.

A 'no' vote next month would not be enough to scupper the whole nuclear agreement -- thanks to Obama's veto power -- but it could foreshadow trouble ahead.

It could empower the next president to upend the deal and signal problems in lifting Congressionally mandated sanctions, a crucial part of the agreement as far as Tehran is concerned.

Congress often tries to influence foreign policy, but the 1999 rejection of the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty is one of only a handful of recent examples of lawmakers repudiating a president's top foreign policy priority.

Even George W. Bush's contentious war in Iraq won Congressional approval.

- Managing expectations -

The White House, facing a momentous defeat, has tried hard to lower expectations.

In public it has long appeared resigned to losing the initial vote, and to the need for a presidential veto.

"Our goal all along has been to build as much support in Congress as we possibly can," said spokesman Josh Earnest on Monday.

"What we have been focused on is building the kind of support that we need in both the House (of Representatives) and the Senate to sustain a presidential veto."

But with just two Democrats publicly opposed to the deal -- with a half dozen waverers still undeclared -- the vote in the Senate looks like being tight.

Behind the scenes those in favor of the deal are lobbying furiously to avoid the veto, with campaign donors threatening to withhold future funding.

"A majority in the House for the resolution of disapproval is probably certain," said Corey Boles, a senior analyst with the Eurasia Group.

"It is an open question whether opponents of the deal will be able to muster the necessary 60 votes in the Senate to advance the measure."

Republicans need the support of a total of six Senate Democrats to pass a resolution against the deal.

So far they have won over two -- New York's Chuck Schumer and New Jersey's Bob Menendez.

The White House needs 41 votes to forestall the resolution, and just 34 Senate votes to uphold Obama's veto.

So far 28 Democrats have declared their support for the deal.

"Forty-one is definitely possible," said Jamal Abdi of the National Iranian American Council, which has been lobbying fiercely in favor of the agreement.

"A number of important swing votes have broken our way. The opposition still needs to find four more Democrats to cross lines," he said.

"If I were them I would be sweating now."


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