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OIL AND GAS
Inflationary pressures drag on oil
by Daniel J. Graeber
New York (UPI) Oct 14, 2015


disclaimer: image is for illustration purposes only

Further evidence of cooling in the Chinese economy Wednesday put downward pressure on crude oil prices, struggling to make gains after last week's rally.

Crude oil prices spiked more than 7 percent last week in a partial response to Russian military intervention in Syria. The gains were all but erased as the third week in October started with a series of reports suggesting markets were still favoring the supply side.

A series of crashes on the Chinese stock market and weak economic data weighed heavily on crude oil prices in late summer. Data published Wednesday from the Chinese National Bureau of Statistics show the consumer price index for September edged up only 0.1 percent. The producer price index contracted for the 43rd straight month.

Brent crude oil moved further away from the psychological threshold of $50 per barrel, moving about seven tenths of a percent beneath the previous close to $48.89 per barrel in early Wednesday trading. West Texas Intermediate, the U.S. benchmark for the price of crude oil, lost 1.1 percent to start trading at $46.14 per barrel.

The International Energy Agency warned in a monthly market report, published Tuesday, the global crude oil market would remain oversupplied because the potential increase from Iran would likely offset the expected slowdown in U.S. shale basins.

For the United States, Federal Reserve Gov. Lael Brainard warned inflation has been "stubbornly low" and running persistently below its 2 percent target.

"The personal consumption expenditures price index increased only 0.3 percent over the 12 months ending in August," she said. "Much of the weakness in this index can be explained by the drop in oil and energy prices over the past year."

Oil prices edge lower amid poor China, US economic data
New York (AFP) Oct 14, 2015 - Oil prices edged lower Wednesday, extending losses a third day, with markets still concerned about signs of global economic weakness.

US benchmark West Texas Intermediate for delivery in November finished off two cents at $46.64 per barrel.

Brent North Sea crude for November dipped nine cents to $49.15 in London.

Weak Chinese trade data for September combined with a negative turn for wholesale prices and poor consumer spending data in the US added to the picture of a slowing global economy overall, analysts said.

"We continue to struggle with the economic data, this morning it was fairly negative," said John Kilduff of Again Capital.

Underpinning the bearish sentiment was the International Energy Agency forecast Tuesday, which expected much slower demand growth next year.

"A projected marked slowdown in demand growth next year and the anticipated arrival of additional Iranian barrels -- should international sanctions be eased -- are likely to keep the market oversupplied through 2016," the Paris-based IEA said.

Meanwhile US crude inventories are expected to rise in Thursday's report.

A Bloomberg News survey showed stockpiles are expected to have increased by 2.58 million barrels in the week to October 9. A rise suggests weaker demand in the United States, the world's top oil-consuming nation.

"For now the glut on the ground, in terms of fuels, refined products and crude oil, is a bit much for the market to be able to support," said Kilduff.


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Iranian President Hassan Rouhani said international efforts and sanctions pressures meant to drive the economy back into recession backfired. With parliamentary approval of the multilateral nuclear agreement reached in July in hand, Rouhani said he'd lay out new economic policies next week. Rouhani in September said about one-third of the national budget relies on revenue generat ... read more


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