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WAR REPORT
In hunt for Kadhafi, US has crucial, low-profile role
by Staff Writers
Washington (AFP) Aug 25, 2011

US intelligence agencies have a crucial role to play in tracking down Libya's Moamer Kadhafi but are anxious to keep a low profile, current and former officials said Thursday.

Although the military and the State Department sought to distance Washington from the manhunt, current and former officials acknowledged that finding the fugitive strongman was an important priority for US spy agencies.

"It's a question of getting to him before he tries to form an insurgency against the new government," said Bruce Riedel, a former CIA officer and a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution.

"In terms of Kadhafi, I'm sure the agency (CIA) is looking for patterns in his previous experiences which could give clues as to where he might go.

"Does he have a stronghold somewhere in the Libyan desert that he's frequented in the past? Is there a tribal stronghold where he would most likely be able to hang out?"

The United States has a vast array of assets to bring to bear, including surveillance aircraft, eavesdropping by the National Security Agency, and tips from high-ranking defectors and CIA operatives on the ground, he said.

Defectors such as Mussa Kussa, a former head of Libyan intelligence and foreign minister, could be a crucial resource in locating Kadhafi by providing insights into where he might flee.

"We've also benefited from the defection of senior Libyan officials like Mussa Kussa, who have undoubtedly been asked quite forcefully to tell everything that they have to know about how the colonel's military and intelligence structures work," Riedel said.

With rebel forces asserting control of most of Libya and Kadhafi on the run, the US military's attention had naturally shifted to the former ruler's whereabouts and "what comes next," said a defense official.

"That's the focus, given his (Kadhafi's) potential to command forces," the defense official, who spoke on condition of anonymity, told AFP.

Britain's Defense Minister Liam Fox said NATO was helping the rebels with intelligence and reconnaissance to find Kadhafi, a claim denied by the alliance.

In press briefings Thursday, the Pentagon and State Department insisted finding Kadhafi was not a priority and cited the UN-backed mandate for the NATO air campaign that only calls for protecting Libyan civilians.

"Neither the United States nor NATO is involved in this manhunt. It's a Libyan effort," State Department spokeswoman Victoria Nuland told reporters.

Drawing lessons from the US experience in Iraq, Washington and its allies wanted to avoid any appearance of heavy-handed intervention that would overshadow the rebels, experts said.

"Any assistance on that (manhunt) would be behind the scenes, just by nature of the intelligence that's involved," said Frederic Wehrey, senior policy analyst at the RAND corporation.

But Wehrey, who served as a US advisor in Iraq, said it was unlikely that Kadhafi could foment a genuine insurgency.

"I think the real concern is the importance of setting an example of justice and reconciliation and bringing closure to nearly 40 years of authoritarian rule," he said.

"His capture and trial will be an important step in the rehabilitation of the country and in moving forward."

Apart from Kadhafi, the US military and intelligence services are also monitoring chemical weapons stockpiles, possible retribution by rebel forces and the threat of Islamist militants within their ranks, officials said.




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US says Libya's yellowcake, mustard agent secure
Washington (AFP) Aug 25, 2011 - The United States said Thursday that Libya's stockpiles of mustard agent and uranium yellowcake -- potential ingredients for chemical and nuclear weapons -- are secure.

State Department spokeswoman Victoria Nuland said US envoy Chris Stevens was speaking with Libyan rebels about their plans to assume control of a site in Tajjura where yellowcake is kept and a mustard agent storage site in Waddan.

"All sensitive elements of Libya's nuclear program, including everything that Libya received from the (Pakistan-based) AQ Khan network, were removed in early 2004," Nuland told reporters.

"The last of the highly-enriched uranium, the bomb-making fuel, was removed from Libya in 2009," she said.

She said Libya's supply of yellowcake is "safeguarded" at the Tajjura nuclear research facility.

Yellowcake is made from raw mined uranium to be transformed into uranium tetrafluoride (UF4) and then into uranium hexafluoride (UF6), a feed gas for the actual process of enrichment. Enriched uranium can be used to fuel nuclear reactors or make atomic bombs.

"We are able, through our national technical means, to assert that we believe that it is secure and .... in any case, Libya doesn't have the means right now to turn yellowcake into anything dangerous," she added.

National technical means refers to the use of spy satellites and other intelligence-gathering methods.

The now fugitive Libyan strongman Moamer Kadhafi's stockpile of mustard agent meanwhile is "now stored at the Waddan Ammunition Reservation," Nuland said.

"It is inside massive steel containers within heavy bunkers. These bunkers were sealed by the Organization for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons, the OPCW," Nuland added.

"Our judgment is that they remain secure," she said, adding the chemicals are not ready to be mounted on weapons.

"They can't be converted on a dime. And they're in these massive drums inside a heavy bunker. And we are able to monitor the security with national technical means," she added.

The State Department and Pentagon said Wednesday that Libya's stockpiles of missiles and chemical weapons were "secure" but that an arsenal of thousands of portable shoulder-launched missiles remained a cause for concern.





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WAR REPORT
Kadhafi regime lobbied US to stop bombings: Guardian
London (AFP) Aug 26, 2011
Besieged Libyan leader Moamer Kadhafi lobbied the US to try and stop NATO's bombing campaign and feared western forces would commence a full invasion at the end of the year, documents seen by The Guardian revealed. Kadhafi's regime sought to persuade US congressman Dennis Kucinich - who voted against the NATO operation over Libya - to conduct a "peace mission" to Tripoli, the broadsheet re ... read more


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