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In Myanmar trip, US seeks clout on China doorstep
by Staff Writers
Washington (AFP) Nov 27, 2011


US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton heads this week on a historic visit to Myanmar that aims not only to pry open the closed nation but to shake up the battle for global influence right on China's doorstep.

Clinton on Wednesday will become the top US official to visit the nation formerly known as Burma in more than 50 years as she tests the waters after dramatic -- but tentative -- reforms by the military-backed government.

Clinton is expected to meet both President Thein Sein and democracy icon Aung San Suu Kyi. She has said she will press for greater progress on human rights and democracy, without offering any let-up in biting US sanctions.

The United States has been careful not to raise expectations for a breakthrough. But Clinton's visit carries unmistakable symbolism as it seeks to advance US priorities in one of the countries most closely aligned with China.

Myanmar's "strategic importance to the United States is closely connected to concerns about rising Chinese influence," said John Ciorciari, an expert on Southeast Asia at the University of Michigan.

"To Beijing, Burma offers the possibility of natural resources and warm-water ports on the Indian Ocean that could be crucial in expanding China's naval reach," he said.

"Successful US engagement would lessen the likelihood of a strong Sino-Myanmar alignment in years ahead."

Beijing has provided the main diplomatic cover for Myanmar's leaders but the relationship is complicated, with some in the Southeast Asian nation resentful over China's overwhelming economic influence and historic border conflicts.

Myanmar recently defied China by shutting down work on an unpopular dam that would supply power across the border. Myanmar's leaders, known for deep distrust of the outside world, have reached out in recent years to India, Southeast Asia nations and, now, the United States.

For the United States, progress on Myanmar could help resolve a main stumbling block inside the Association of Southeast Asian Nations, giving new influence to the fast-growing -- and mostly US-friendly -- 10-nation bloc.

A stronger ASEAN would allow "China to grow and be secure but not use its new economic might to force neighbors' hands on issues related to sovereignty," said Ernie Bower of the Center for Strategic and International Studies.

US President Barack Obama's administration, while saying it wants a cooperative relationship with a rising China, has recently gone on the offensive amid suspicions over Beijing's intentions.

Obama recently announced the stationing of US troops in Australia -- a clear sign of US priorities at a time of tight budgets -- and has pushed ahead a trans-Pacific free trade agreement that for now excludes China.

Myanmar's military seized power in 1962 but since last year has held elections, nominally handed power to civilians and freed Suu Kyi from house arrest. The new government has opened a dialogue with the opposition and ethnic minorities.

While the United States and the opposition were at first cynical about the moves, Suu Kyi's National League for Democracy recently said it will re-enter mainstream politics. The party won 1990 elections but was never allowed to take power.

Even the most upbeat US policymakers acknowledge that Washington's influence is limited in a country so fearful of outside invasion that it suddenly moved its capital to the remote outpost of Naypyidaw in 2005.

The United States bans virtually all trade with Myanmar and any decision to end sanctions would need approval from Congress, with which exile groups have worked closely for years to pressure the generals.

Walter Lohman of the Heritage Foundation, a conservative think-tank that is often critical of the administration, welcomed Obama's phone consultations with Suu Kyi before the decision on Clinton's visit.

"The fact that the president called and got her blessing and that they're tying their policy to her makes it a very difficult decision to criticize," Lohman said.

But Lohman doubted how much further Myanmar would reform, suspecting that the leadership's main interest was to ensure it will be the chair of ASEAN in 2014.

"My guess is that the regime is calculating exactly how far it can go to get all of these things it is looking for without going too far to accommodate the political opposition," Lohman said.

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China, Myanmar vow deeper ties before Clinton trip
Beijing (AFP) Nov 28, 2011 - China's leader-in-waiting Xi Jinping met Myanmar's military chief on Monday and pledged stronger ties, days before US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton starts a historic trip to the closed state.

Clinton will become the most senior US official to visit Myanmar in more than 50 years on Wednesday when she arrives on a trip seen as a bid to advance US priorities in a country that has long enjoyed close ties to China.

Xi proposed that the nations' militaries "enhance exchange and deepen cooperation" when he met the commmander-in-chief of Myanmar's armed forces, Min Aung Hlaing, in Beijing, the official Xinhua news agency said.

"The friendship, forged by leaders of the older generations, has endured changes in the international arena," Xinhua quoted Vice President Xi as saying.

"China will work with Myanmar to further bolster the comprehensive strategic partnership of cooperation," added Xi, who is widely expected to take over from President Hu Jintao in 2013.

Myanmar and China have long been close allies, although the relationship is complicated, with some in the Southeast Asian nation resentful over Beijing's overwhelming economic influence and historic border conflicts.

Myanmar -- which since last year has held elections and freed democracy icon Aung San Suu Kyi from house arrest -- recently defied China by shutting down work on an unpopular dam that would supply power across the border.

Experts say Clinton's trip to Myanmar aims not only to test the waters after dramatic but tentative reforms in the country, but also to shake up the battle for global influence on China's doorstep.

It follows a tour of Pacific nations by US President Barack Obama aimed at reinforcing US influence in the region amid growing concerns about the rise of China.

During his trip, Obama announced the stationing of US troops in Australia -- a move Beijing said may not be "quite appropriate" -- and also pushed ahead a trans-Pacific free trade agreement that for now excludes China.

But US influence in Myanmar is likely to be limited. Washington bans virtually all trade with the country and any decision to end sanctions would need approval from Congress.



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India-China meeting off over Dalai Lama: source
New Delhi (AFP) Nov 27, 2011
A meeting between Indian and Chinese diplomats has been cancelled after Beijing objected to a scheduled speech in New Delhi by Tibetan spiritual leader the Dalai Lama, officials said Sunday. A senior Indian foreign ministry official, who declined to be named, said talks on long-standing border issues that were slated to begin in New Delhi on Monday had been called off. "Beijing wanted De ... read more


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