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David and Goliath: China and Taiwan's military mismatch
By Amber WANG
Taipei (AFP) Aug 10, 2020

Why the fuss? The US, Taiwan and China -- a guide
Taipei (AFP) Aug 10, 2020 - Why has the United States' highest-level visit to Taiwan for four decades sparked such anger from Beijing?

Here is a recap of the key issues surrounding the delicate relations between the US, China and Taiwan.

- Bitter history -

The deep rift between China and Taiwan dates back to China's civil war, which erupted in 1927 and pitted forces aligned with the Communist Party of China against the Nationalist Kuomintang (KMT) army.

Eventually defeated by Mao Zedong's communists, KMT chief Chiang Kai-shek fled to Taiwan, which was still under KMT control.

From there, Chiang continued to claim the entirety of China -- just as the mainland claimed Taiwan.

Taiwan's official name remains the Republic of China, while the mainland is the People's Republic of China.

For years both sides still formally claimed to represent all of China, although that landscape has changed in recent decades.

Since the late 1990s, Taiwan has transformed from an autocracy into a vibrant democracy and a distinct Taiwanese identity has emerged.

The current ruling party, led by President Tsai Ing-wen, regards Taiwan as a de facto sovereign nation, not part of China.

The KMT, now in opposition, is more supportive of better ties with Beijing, especially on trade and maintains the idea that Taiwan is part of China.

- Why the fuss? -

Washington cut formal diplomatic relations with Taiwan in 1979, switching recognition to Beijing as the sole representative of China, with the mainland becoming a major trading partner.

But the United States at the same time maintained a decisive, if at times delicate, role in supporting Taiwan.

Under a law passed by Congress, the United States is required to sell Taiwan military supplies to ensure its self-defence against Beijing's vastly larger armed forces.

In recent decades US presidents have been somewhat reluctant to sell big-ticket items to Taiwan, fearful of incurring Beijing's wrath.

US President Donald Trump's administration has no such qualms and has approved a string of military sales, including an $8 billion fighter jet deal to replace Taiwan's ageing fleet.

- 'One China' policy -

In 1992, Taiwan and mainland China both pledged there is only "one China" but they agreed to disagree about what precisely that meant.

Only 14 nations, all in the developing world, and the Vatican still recognise Taiwan.

Beijing has tried hard to stop any international recognition for the island.

The United States, while recognising Beijing, is deliberately careful in its wording.

The United States says only that it "acknowledges" Beijing's claim to Taiwan -- and leaves it for the two sides to work out a solution while opposing any use of force to change the status quo.

In practice, Taiwan enjoys many of the trappings of a full diplomatic relationship with the United States.

While there is no US embassy in Taipei, Washington runs a centre called the American Institute in Taiwan. In the United States, the island's diplomats enjoy the status of other nations' personnel.

Beijing is sensitive to any move that could amount to official recognition of Taiwan, such as when Tsai spoke by telephone to Trump after his election but before his inauguration.

The United States has pushed for Taiwan to be included in UN bodies such as the World Health Organization.

The topic is sure to come up during the visit of Alex Azar, the secretary of health and human services, who like many around the world has praised Taiwan's effective response to the novel coronavirus pandemic.

Few geopolitical contests are as mismatched as China and Taiwan.

One is an authoritarian regional superpower of 1.4 billion people that boasts the world's largest standing army and spends more on its military than any other country except the United States.

The other is a self-ruled democracy of 23 million, a comparative economic and military minnow that lives under the threat of constant invasion.

The Taiwan Strait remains one of the world's most dangerous flashpoints.

Tensions are on the rise again with the US sending its highest-level delegation to Taipei since Washington switched diplomatic recognition to China in 1979.

- Why are they enemies? -

Taiwan and China split in 1949 when Chiang Kai-shek's Nationalists fled to the island to set up a separate authoritarian government after losing a civil war on the mainland to Mao Zedong's communists.

Both sides claimed to represent China and for the first three decades, the conflict remained hot with China regularly shelling Taiwanese islands close to the mainland.

In the worst attack in 1958, the People's Liberation Army fired 470,000 shells for 44 days, killing 618 servicemen and civilians.

As late as the 1970s, China was still bombarding the islands, although by then the shells were stuffed with propaganda leaflets.

A detente set in, followed by a tacit agreement in the early 1990s where both sides settled on there being "one China" but agreed to disagree on what that meant.

Since then, a more distinct Taiwanese identity has emerged that sees the island as a de facto independent state with a separate destiny from the Chinese mainland.

- Where is Taiwan weak? -

In sheer numbers and money, it is dwarfed by China's military.

Taiwan has around 215,000 soldiers and a defence budget of $12 billion compared with China's estimated two million armed forces backed by a budget of $178 billion.

China is a nuclear-armed state with a growing arsenal of state-of-the-art weaponry including advanced fighter jets, two aircraft carriers, and more on the way.

It also has a growing number of missiles, some of them hypersonic, positioned just across the Taiwan Strait and more than 60 submarines, including nuclear-powered vessels.

Taiwan's 300 or so fighter jets have all been in services since the 1990s.

Its navy is massively outgunned by China's -- two of its four ageing submarines were built in the 1940s.

- Where is Taiwan strong? -

Military might is no guarantee of victory -- insurgents have managed to bog down US-led NATO forces in Afghanistan for two decades.

Taiwan assesses that it does not need to match China dollar for dollar.

It has long planned for asymmetric warfare, safe in the knowledge that defending an island is far easier to do that to take it.

With many Western nations -- until recently -- reluctant to sell big-ticket military items lest they incur Beijing's wrath, Taiwan developed a vibrant and innovative domestic weapons industry.

Comparatively cheap missiles, including some hypersonic variants, have become a big priority to make any Chinese invasion hugely costly.

- What does China say? -

Beijing continues to claim Taiwan and has vowed to one day seize it, by force if necessary.

Under President Xi Jinping, it has become more aggressive, especially after the 2016 election as president of Tsai Ing-wen, who rejects the idea of a "one China" and sees Taiwan as a de facto sovereign state.

Last year, Xi gave his most bellicose speech yet, warning that Taiwan's reunification with the mainland is "inevitable".

Military drills have been ramped up with Chinese fighter jets routinely flying into Taiwan's defence zone.

Xi faces pressure from hardline nationalists who see Taiwan's independence from the mainland as a slap in the face to the Chinese Communist Party.

Despite the pressure campaign, Taiwanese voters re-elected Tsai for a second term earlier this year in a landslide.

- What is America's role? -

Washington is bound by Congress to provide Taiwan with arms to defend itself.

It recognises Beijing as China's government but maintains a deliberately more opaque stance on Taiwan's future status, saying any change must be achieved peacefully.

Since the mid-1990s, to placate China, US presidents were wary of selling major weaponry to the island, which frustrated Taipei.

That has changed under President Donald Trump, who has greenlit a number of major deals, including 66 next-generation F-16 fighters and an upgrade to the island's Patriot missiles.

Taiwan is also one of the few issues that generate bipartisan support in the Trump era, with two recent bills upgrading diplomatic ties and exchanges.


Related Links
Taiwan News at SinoDaily.com


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TAIWAN NEWS
China warns US against 'dangerous moves' on Taiwan
Washington (AFP) Aug 6, 2020
Chinese Defense Minister Wei Fenghe warned his US counterpart in a phone call Thursday to avoid firing up bilateral tensions, a day after Washington angered Beijing by announcing it would send a senior official to visit Taiwan. Wei told US Defense Secretary Mark Esper in a 90-minute phone call to "stop erroneous words and deeds" and "avoid taking dangerous moves that may escalate the situation," referring directly to Taiwan and the South China Sea, the Xinhua News Agency reported. But Esper told ... read more

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