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Climate-saving deal within reach as Paris deadline looms
By Mari�tte Le Roux, Marlowe HOOD
Le Bourget, France (AFP) Dec 9, 2015


US joins 'ambition coalition' at UN climate talks
Le Bourget, France (AFP) Dec 9, 2015 - The United States said Wednesday it had united with the European Union and 79 developing countries to jointly push for an ambitious accord in Paris to curb global warming.

The decision, announced by US Secretary of State John Kerry, came a day after the European Union said it had joined the African, Caribbean and Pacific nations most vulnerable to climate disasters to lobby for a far-reaching deal.

"This is a group of countries that is fully committed to ensuring the agreement is a truly ambitious one," Kerry said in Paris, where 195 nations are aiming to forge a pact to cut Earth-warming greenhouse gas emissions.

"Addressing climate change will require a fundamental change in the way we power our planet."

However countries within the alliance dubbed the "high ambition coalition" by the United States have conflicting aims on some key points in the accord.

Low-lying small islands, for example, are calling on the world to cap global warming at less than 1.5 degrees Celsius (2.5 degrees Fahrenheit) above pre-Industrial Revolution levels.

The United States appears happy to leave the core goal at 2C (3.6 F), although it would accept a mention of the 1.5C target within the text.

"To be clear this is not a negotiating group," said Tony De Brum, the foreign minister of the Marshall Islands who was one of the key figures behind the formation of the alliance.

"It is rather about joining the voices of all those who are committed to an ambitious agreement and a safe climate future -- big and small, rich and poor," he told reporters.

"To do this we are building personal bonds between us as ministers, forging a joint resolve to fight together."

India -- which has balked at accelerating the review of carbon-cutting pledges and at setting the decarbonisation of the global economy as a goal -- is not part of the coalition.

Nor are economic giants China and Brazil.

Miguel Arias Canete, the European commissioner for climate action and energy, has called for other nations to join the group in the final hours of the UN talks, which have a Friday deadline for a deal to be signed.

- Common goals -

Together, they are calling for a legally binding, fair, durable agreement in Paris that must set a long-term goal, be reviewed every five years and include a system for tracking progress.

"These negotiations are about all of us, both developed and developing countries, finding common ground and solutions together. That is why the EU and the African, Caribbean and Pacific countries have agreed to join forces for an ambitious outcome here in Paris," Canete said Tuesday.

Alden Meyer, climate change expert at the Union of Concerned Scientists, said the grouping started informally in July.

The emergence of a coalition among those most determined to make deep and verifiable emissions cuts may be seen as a sign that deep divisions remain as the delegates battle to put together a final deal.

Illustrating the complexities at play in Paris, many of the developing nations in the "coalition of ambition" remain in an official negotiating bloc that includes China, India and Brazil known as the G77.

In the lead-up to Paris, the United States has also been engaging with all major powers.

Kerry and President Barack Obama held regular and intense talks with their Chinese, Brazilian and Indian counterparts in the weeks leading up to Paris, according to US officials.

An elusive universal pact to save mankind from disastrous global warming is within reach, the French host of UN talks said Wednesday as he released a new blueprint just 48 hours before the deadline for a deal.

Foreign Minister Laurent Fabius cautioned the toughest issues still needed to be resolved, as he appealed for compromise among the ministers and other negotiators from 195 nations gathered in the northern outskirts of Paris.

But, after releasing a streamlined draft of the accord that eliminated hundreds of smaller points of dispute, Fabius voiced confidence an accord could be signed by Friday to rein in greenhouse gases that warm the planet.

"I am convinced we can reach a deal but to do so we must unite our forces and set our compass on the need for compromise," Fabius told the delegates.

The UN talks have been billed as the last chance to avert the worst consequences of global warming: deadly drought, floods and storms, and rising seas that will engulf islands and densely populated coastlines.

More than two decades of international diplomacy have failed to produce such an accord, which would require a transformation of the world's energy system away from its reliance on highly polluting coal, oil and gas.

Deep divisions -- primarily between rich and poor nations -- over how to pay for the costly shift to renewable forms of energy, such as solar and wind, have bedevilled the UN climate process.

While the biggest arguments are yet to be resolved in Paris, negotiators and long-time observers agreed following the release of the draft that a deal could be reached.

"Our sense is that almost everything we need for an ambitious, equitable agreement is still in play," Jennifer Morgan, global director of the climate programme at the World Resources Institute, told reporters.

"But there is clearly an immense amount of work to be done in the coming hours."

- Good, bad and ugly -

However some campaigning groups said they were concerned that world powers, in their rush for an agreement, may settle for a weak accord that does not do enough to curb greenhouse gases.

"It's a mix of the good, the bad and the ugly, but we've got three days to force the worst stuff out and get a decent deal. It's crunch time now," said Kaisa Kosonen, a climate policy expert with Greenpeace.

Taking effect in 2020, the Paris agreement would seek to cut greenhouse gas emissions deeply enough to curb global warming to less than two degrees Celsius (3.6 degrees Fahrenheit) over pre-Industrial Revolution levels.

In a victory for dozens of nations most vulnerable to rising sea levels and fierce storms, a more ambitious cap of 1.5C was also kept as an option in the draft accord released on Wednesday.

"We have never been this close to a climate change agreement," Thoriq Ibrahim, Maldives Environment Minister and chair of the Alliance of Small Island States, said in response to the latest draft.

"It's now up to us ministers to show the leadership needed to make hard decisions that put the interests of people and the planet ahead of short-sighted politics."

- Deal-busters -

One of the biggest potential deal-busters remains money.

Rich countries promised six years ago in Copenhagen to muster $100 billion (92 billion euros) a year from 2020 to help developing nations make the costly shift to clean energy, and to cope with the impact of global warming.

But how the pledged funds will be raised still remains unclear -- and developing countries are pushing for a promise that the amount will be ramped up in future.

Meanwhile, rich nations are insisting that developing giants work harder to tackle their greenhouse gases, noting that much of the world's emissions come from their fast-growing economies.

Most nations submitted to the UN before Paris their voluntary plans to curb greenhouse gas emissions from 2020, which was widely hailed as an important platform for success.

But scientists say, that even if the cuts were fulfilled, they would still put Earth on track for warming of at least 2.7C.

One of the remaining battle fronts in Paris is a debate over when and how often to review those national plans, so that they could be "scaled up" with pledges for deeper emissions cuts.

Some developing nations insist they should not be pressured into deeper cuts, insisting that responsibility rests with rich nations that have burnt the most fossil fuels since the Industrial Revolution.

In a dramatic and timely example of the world's fate if rampant coal burning goes unchecked, choking smog has descended on the Chinese capital of Beijing and surrounding cities this week.

A red alert, ordering factories to close and recommending children stay at home, was raised in Beijing for the first time on Monday, followed by 27 other cities on Tuesday.

China is the world's biggest emitter of greenhouse gases, primarily because of its reliance on coal to provide cheap energy for its 1.3 billion people as they go through a remarkable economic transformation.


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