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China manufacturing index falls to three-year low: govt
by Staff Writers
Beijing (AFP) Feb 1, 2016


China arrests 21 over $7.6 bn Ponzi scam: report
Beijing (AFP) Feb 1, 2016 - Chinese authorities have arrested 21 people on suspicion of defrauding around 900,000 people of more than 50 billion yuan ($7.6 billion), state media reported, after an online peer-to-peer lender turned out to be a giant Ponzi scheme.

Ezubao offered investors annual returns of between nine percent and 14.6 percent on various projects, the official Xinhua news agency reported -- far more than currently offered by Chinese banks' wealth management products.

The platform, launched in July 2014, had amassed more than 50 billion yuan by December, said the report late Sunday, citing police as estimating 900,000 investors had fallen victim to the scam.

Investors were despondent on Monday, with one asking on China's Twitter-like Weibo: "Does our money just evaporate like that?"

But few comments were visible, leading to suspicions of censorship in a country where authorities impose strict controls to avoid social unrest.

Illegal fund-raising is widespread in China and often involves a large number of investors who have few investment options because of low bank interest rates, an extremely speculative stock market and uncertainties in the property sector.

Last October a payment crisis at state-managed Fanya Metals Exchange sparked protests in Beijing and Shanghai, with police detaining hundreds in the capital.

Ezubao was China's fourth largest Internet P2P lender, Chinese business magazine publisher Caixin Group said in a previous report.

The company fabricated most of the projects on its website and paid old debts with money from new investors, Xinhua said.

"Ezubao is a typical Ponzi scam," it quoted Zhang Min, president of its owner Yucheng Group and one of those arrested, as saying while in custody.

Yucheng's chairman Ding Ning said the company spent more than 800 million yuan buying corporate information to invent the fraudulent projects, the report said.

He also splashed out investors' money on a lavish lifestyle, including giving Zhang a 130-million-yuan villa in Singapore and 500 million yuan in cash.

State media regularly carry purported confessions by detainees, a practice strongly condemned by overseas advocacy groups as violating the right to a fair trial.

Police said that of the 207 companies to whom Ezubao claimed to have lent money, only one had actually borrowed from it.

"As far as I know, 95 percent of the projects on Ezubao were fake," it quoted Yong Lei, a risk controller at a Yucheng subsidiary, as saying.

Police raided the company, based in the eastern province of Anhui, after discovering that its executives were transferring funds and planning to flee, Xinhua added.

Some Internet users blamed investors' greed for enabling them to be easily taken in.

"Investors must sharpen their eyes facing various seductions. Never go after petty advantages and always remember there is no free lunch," said one posting.

Manufacturing activity in China contracted at its fastest pace in more than three years in January, government data showed Monday, underlining weakness in the world's second-largest economy.

The official Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI), which tracks activity in factories and workshops, fell to 49.4, figures from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) showed.

It was the lowest figure since 49.2 in August 2012, and was below the median forecast of 49.6 in a Bloomberg survey of economists.

PMI readings above 50 signal expanding activity, while anything below indicates shrinkage, and investors watch the figures closely as the first available indicators of the country's economic health each month.

Chinese shares closed down as the weak figures weighed on sentiment, with the benchmark Shanghai Composite Index falling 1.78 percent and the Shenzhen Composite Index, which tracks stocks on the country's second exchange, retreating 1.04 percent.

The manufacturing slowdown "points to weaker growth momentum", said Yao Zhang, China economist at Nomura Holdings in Hong Kong. "We believe economic growth may start to lose steam again, after stabilising a little."

It was the sixth consecutive month that the official index showed contraction, which Bloomberg said was the longest such series on record.

"The manufacturing sector will likely face a tough year ahead on the back of overcapacity, weakening global demand, and government's plans to tackle pollution," ANZ economists Liu Ligang and Louis Lam said in a report.

China's economy, which is a vital driver of global expansion, grew 6.9 percent last year, its weakest rate in a quarter of a century.

China's leaders -- who targeted growth of "about seven percent" -- are looking to transform the economy away from the investment and exports of the past to one more oriented towards domestic consumer demand, but the transition is proving bumpy, and the growth slowdown has alarmed investors worldwide.

- 'Manufacturing doldrums' -

The private Caixin Purchasing Managers' Index, which has a greater emphasis on smaller firms, came in at 48.4 for January, slightly up from 48.2 in December, the Chinese financial magazine said in a joint statement issued with data compiler Markit.

Liu Dongliang, an analyst with China Merchants Bank (CMB), said as the official PMI covers more big companies, it showed that "the manufacturing doldrums spread from small- and medium-sized firms to larger ones".

With excess manufacturing overcapacity and a sluggish property market, authorities are pushing for so-called "supply side reforms" that focus on reducing stockpiles and debt.

"The domestic economy is yet to show signs of a bottoming out while the capacity reduction moves may add more turbulence to economic indicators," CMB's Liu said.

In the official survey, the new orders sub-index fell to 49.5 from 50.2 in December, "suggesting falling demand in the manufacturing market", while that for employment remained in contraction territory at 47.8, the NBS said.

Analysts expect the government to further loosen its monetary policy by cutting the amount of cash banks must keep in reserve or even the interest rate to boost growth.

"Refraining from further easing could risk an even weaker economy, which will then intensify depreciation expectation and capital outflows," ANZ's Liu and Lam said.

Around $1.0 trillion left China last year, according to Bloomberg Intelligence. In December alone capital outflow from the country was nearly $160 billion, reflecting growing concern about the economy against a backdrop of volatility in the foreign exchange and stock markets.


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