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WAR REPORT
America's widening role in Syria's civil war
by Staff Writers
Washington (AFP) June 19, 2017


Syria: US involvement since 2011
Here is a recap of Washington's involvement in the Syrian conflict, after one of its warplanes shot down a Syrian jet for the first time.

The US-led coalition is one of several actors in the fight against the Islamic State (IS) group, along with the government of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad, who has fought a more than six-year war against rebel groups, some of which have US support.

- Pressure on Assad -

April 29, 2011: Responding to a bloody regime crackdown against protests, Washington slaps sanctions and assets freezes on several Syrian officials.

May 19: A day after ordering the first US sanctions on Assad himself, US president Barack Obama calls on him to lead a political transition or step aside.

July 8: The US ambassador in Damascus, Robert Ford, challenges Assad by visiting Hama, a central city besieged by the army and scene of a massive demonstration against the regime.

August 18: Obama and Western allies for the first time call explicitly on Assad to stand down.

October 24: The United States announces that Ford has left Syria for security reasons. Damascus recalls its ambassador from Washington.

- Obama ignores 'red line' -

September 14, 2013: Following an August 21 chemical weapons attack attributed to Assad's regime, Russia and the United States agree to dismantle Syria's chemical weapons arsenal, averting the threat of a punitive US strike.

Obama had vowed to act if Syria crossed the "red line" of chemical weapons use.

- Strikes against IS -

September 23, 2014: The United States and Arab allies launch air strikes in Syria against IS, expanding a US-led campaign against the jihadists in neighbouring Iraq.

US troops have since been sent to Syria and a Marine artillery unit has helped rebels trying to recapture the jihadists' de-facto capital Raqa.

- Moscow enters the fray -

September 30, 2015: Regime backer Russia launches air strikes in support of Assad. Moscow says it is targeting "terrorist groups" including IS, but Washington says most of the strikes target non-jihadist rebels.

In 2016, American and Russian-brokered ceasefires quickly break down. After an all-out assault by Russian and Syrian forces oust rebels from second city Aleppo, a truce negotiated without the US takes effect on December 30.

- First US strike -

March 30, 2017: more than two months after Donald Trump takes office, US Secretary of State Rex Tillerson says Assad's fate "will be decided by the Syrian people."

April 4: Trump's tone hardens after a suspected chemical attack kills as many as 88 people in Idlib province.

Early on April 7: a wave of 59 US cruise missiles rips up Shayrat airfield in central Syria, the suspected launch site of the Idlib attack.

May 9: Trump says he will supply weapons to Kurdish People's Protection Units (YPG) fighting the IS in Syria, as they capture the important town of Tabqa and its nearby dam.

- Pro-regime forces bombarded -

May 18: Coalition aircraft strike a pro-regime convoy as it approaches a training garrison near the Al-Tanf border crossing to Jordan. The US had chosen this town to train local Syrian forces to fight the IS.

June 8: The coalition says it has taken out a drone believed to belong to the Syrian army, in what is the third incident between pro-regime forces and the coalition in the region.

June 15: Russia says the US has deployed missiles near Al-Tanf.

- Syrian jet shot down -

June 18: A US fighter downs a Syrian jet after it bombs the US-allied Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) fighters in Jaaydine, south of Tabqa.

A day later, Russia says it will now track coalition aircraft as potential targets and cut a hotline set up to prevent incidents between Russian and coalition forces.

The unprecedented US downing of a Syrian regime warplane highlights the rapidly shifting dynamic in the six-year conflict where President Donald Trump has given American commanders a freer rein in the battlefield.

The United States insisted Monday it wants no broader role in Syria's civil war, and seeks only to destroy the Islamic State group, but the weekend incident shows the limits of America's ability to stay disengaged.

With myriad competing forces quickly converging in Syria, and new powers delegated to Trump's commanders, the risk of additional confrontation is real.

- What happened? -

An American F/A-18E Super Hornet shot down a Syrian SU-22 on Sunday evening as it "dropped bombs" near a US-backed alliance called the Syrian Democratic Forces, who are fighting IS, the US-led coalition said in a statement.

The Syrian warplane was shot down "in accordance with rules of engagement and in collective self-defense of coalition partnered forces," the statement said.

Syria's army has disputed this account, saying its plane was hit while conducting a mission against IS.

A US official told AFP the pilot of the Syrian plane appeared to have ejected before the jet was hit, though his fate was unknown.

- How serious is this? -

The shoot-down marks the first time a US jet has downed a Syrian regime warplane, despite leading a massive air campaign targeting IS in Syria for nearly three years.

Russia, which is flying its own air war in Syria to prop up President Bashar al-Assad, condemned the incident and said it had shut off a special "deconfliction" hotline with the US military, though top officer General Joe Dunford later said the United States was seeking to re-establish the channel.

Sunday's incident marks the latest in a series of US attacks on pro-regime forces.

On April 7, Trump authorized a cruise missile strike against a Syrian air base in response to a suspected chemical weapons attack by the regime against civilians.

Then on May 18, coalition aircraft struck a pro-regime convoy apparently transporting Shia militiamen as it drove toward a coalition garrison at At-Tanaf near the Jordanian border.

A similar incident occurred June 6, and on June 8 a US warplane shot down a pro-regime drone in Syria after it fired at coalition forces.

- Deepening American involvement? -

The Pentagon has repeatedly stressed it has no interest in increasing its role in Syria's civil war, and that its sole focus is on defeating IS.

What the recent incidents "indicate is a complicated and complex battlespace, and we continue to try to operate transparently and to communicate intentions around our actions so it is clear we are focusing on the defeat of ISIS in Syria," US Central Command spokesman Colonel John Thomas said on Monday.

Officials emphasize the strikes were all conducted in self-defense after pro-regime forces ignored warnings.

But the incidents also highlight the changing dynamics of the Syrian civil war, and observers say further confrontations are likely.

"The US mission in Syria is dangerously morphing from a counterterrorism action against the Islamic State into a party to Syria's civil war," said Bill Roggio, a senior fellow at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies and editor of its Long War Journal.

Until recently, pro-regime forces were focused on fighting rebels in western Syria but victories in Aleppo and elsewhere have freed them up to move east, pushing them into contact with the SDF.

Many analysts see Iran's hand behind this push, and highlight Tehran's concerns over the growing strength and influence of the SDF.

Charles Lister, a senior fellow at the Middle East Institute, sees the unfolding situation in Syria as an inevitable consequence of America's stubborn insistence that it is only in the country to fight IS, without addressing the broader civil war.

"We cannot only fight ISIS effectively -- we are going to come into conflict with others. We have to more clearly define what our position is," he said.

- New powers -

Trump, who campaigned on a pledge to quickly defeat IS, ordered his generals to come up with a revised plan to defeat the jihadist group.

The review resulted in an "annihilation campaign" aimed at killing all IS fighters, and saw commanders gain greater autonomy to make battlefield decisions and approve strikes.

Thomas said the new powers would not have played any role in the recent decisions to attack pro-regime forces, as these were all ordered in self-defense.

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