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Microsoft tablet computer a big bet on future: analysts
by Staff Writers
San Francisco (AFP) June 19, 2012


Microsoft's decision to make its own tablet computer is a sign of frustration with its longtime hardware partners and a big bet on the technology giant's future, according to analysts.

Microsoft's empire was believed be at stake in a gamble that it can dethrone Apple's iPad in the tablet market, and weather backlash from original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) that license its software.

"It's a bold move by Microsoft, and it shows just how concerned they are about Apple and the threat Apple is to their ecosystem right now," Gartner analyst Michael Gartenberg told AFP.

"This is (chief executive Steve) Ballmer pushing all the chips to the middle of the table and betting really heavily," he continued. "Microsoft is clearly all-in."

Microsoft on Monday unveiled its first tablet computer, the Surface, running on Windows software to take on iPads.

Chief executive Steve Ballmer described the iPad challenger -- complete with ultra thin covers-cum-keyboards in a range of colors -- as a tablet that "works and plays" as he presented it at a press event in Los Angeles.

"It looks like a really nice product; well designed and well thought out," said NPD Group analyst Stephen Baker.

Microsoft did not reveal when Surface would be available, or the prices for the various models. But it appeared the tablets would debut with Windows 8 operating software later this year and be priced on par with similar devices.

Analysts agreed that Microsoft had the components for success: impressive hardware, stunning screen quality, an online shop for "apps," and troves of films, music and other content at Zune and Xbox Live.

Microsoft recently announced SmartGlass applications that let tablets synch with its leading Xbox 360 videogame consoles and invested more than a half-billion dollars in Barnes & Noble's Nook e-book business.

Microsoft also owns Skype internet telephony service.

The Redmond, Washington-based company has an ample war chest to invest in promoting its tablet.

What remains to be seen is whether Microsoft can put those pieces into a winning formula or whether it will repeat the failure it had when it launched Zune MP3 player hardware to compete with Apple's iPod devices.

Independent analyst Rob Enderle of Silicon Valley hung blame for the flop on Microsoft's shoulders, contending that the company didn't give Zune the funding and resources it needed to be a market hit.

"This is Microsoft's chance to show they have learned the lesson from the Zune," Enderle said.

"This time Microsoft is really going to have to step up," Enderle continued. "With the right resources, this could work."

While Microsoft could shrug off losing the MP3 player market to longtime rival Apple, it can't afford to lose a tablet market with the promise of eclipsing and even replacing the desktop computers, according to analysts.

"This time, if they lose, it is the desktop computer and with that goes three-fifths of Microsoft," Enderle said.

"OEMs are saying that the PC doesn't matter any more and that the tablet really is the future; which is what Bill Gates said in the early 2000s," he added, referring to Microsoft's famous co-founder.

"It has just been unfortunate that Apple has been proving him right on their platform."

Forrester analyst Sarah Rotman Epps warned that Microsoft could be "its own worst enemy" if it overwhelms consumers with configuration options and chipset choices instead of focusing on keeping tablets easy to pick and simple to use.

Among the reasons that this change of strategy is dramatic is that it promised to make adversaries of partners that license Microsoft software to put into devices.

It appeared Microsoft was taking a page from Apple's playbook by taking control of the tablet "ecosystem" from the hardware to the software to the delivery of digital content.

"It felt like they were channeling Steve Jobs at some point," Gartenberg said of the Surface event.

"This whole thing had a very Apple-esque feel and the only company that has been good at being Apple is Apple."

To some extent the tablet move was pay back of a sort to Microsoft partners who have embraced making tablets on Android software provided free by Google, according to analysts.

While competing with companies that license its software will strain relationships, Microsoft would irk them further by undercutting them with low tablet prices to gain market share.

"So many details are missing that we will just have to wait and see," Gartenberg said.

"The payoff on the big bet is that Microsoft becomes a consumer brand and stays relevant in the consumer's digital life," he continued. "They have everyone's attention now let's see what they are going to do with it."

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With tablet, Microsoft takes page from Apple
Washington (AFP) June 19, 2012 - With its new tablet computer, Microsoft is taking a page from Apple's playbook in an effort to control both hardware and software for computers, in a strategy which carries some risk, analysts say.

With the tech landscape rapidly shifting, Microsoft is being forced to shift to the "vertical" strategy employed by Apple and Google, aiming to keep in touch with users with hardware, search functions and software.

"Apple created this new environment with these new products and cloud services. All Microsoft has to do is offer the same thing under their brand name," said independent analyst Jeff Kagan.

"Microsoft will have to refresh their brand. Right now the Microsoft brand is like dear old grandpa. It needs to be invigorated."

The new landscape will see these three big players, Microsoft, Google and Apple, competing more directly on each other's territory, analysts say. Other smaller players include Amazon, which has its own hardware devices, and BlackBerry maker Research in Motion.

Google is widely expected to launch its own branded tablet as well and a phone that may carry its own brand or that of its new acquisition, Motorola Mobility.

"It's about controlling the user experience, which is segmented and fragmented," said analyst Ramon Llamas at IDC.

"It really helps to have a presence on all the screens," including mobile phones, PCs, TVs and tablets, he said.

To carry out the strategy, Llamas said Microsoft also needs to beef up its applications available. He said it now has some 100,000 for Windows mobile phones, many of which could be adapted for tablets, trailing Android and Apple.

But it's not clear if Microsoft, even with its market muscle, can generate the same kinds of apps that drive the experience for tablet users.

"If you're an app developer, you are already programming for Apple and for Android and you want to know what the market is in Windows, what is the revenue opportunity," he said.

"Without apps, you will have a piece of glass and metal that surfs the Web and not much else."

Jack Gold of J. Gold Associates said Microsoft is trying to defend its Windows brand -- the operating system used on most personal computers -- with the strategy, but also runs the risk of alienating the PC makers which provide most of the revenue to the software giant.

"If they're not careful they could turn off some of those (PC makers) and force them into something else, like Android."

Android is the operating system used on mobile devices from Google, which is likewise developing a strategy that includes gadgets as well as software and search to keep its users in the "ecosystem."

Gold said Microsoft needs to look forward but not too far ahead.

"I don't believe the PC model is going away any time soon, but it is changing and morphing," he said.

If Microsoft tries to grab too much control of hardware, it risks alienating the big PC makers like Dell, Hewlett-Packard and Lenovo.

Even though Apple has succeeded in this "walled garden" approach, it might not work for Microsoft.

"If you try to limit innovation to a single company, ultimately you're undercutting the ability of the market to innovate," Gold said.

Gold said Microsoft acted on tablets because "the tablet market in Windows is close to zero."

"They are trying to kick-start the high end of the market, and if they limit it to that they would be OK." he said.

"But if they start competing with Acers and Lenovos it's going to be a problem. It could push them into the Android camp."

Gartner analyst Michael Gartenberg said the move by Microsoft "shows just how concerned they are about Apple and the threat Apple is to their ecosystem right now."



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Microsoft stirs buzz on possible iPad challenger
Los Angeles (AFP) June 18, 2012
Microsoft kept the tech world buzzing Monday ahead of a mysterious announcement which has fueled speculation the software giant may unveil a product to challenge the Apple iPad. The venue for the invite-only announcement, shrouded in secrecy reminiscent of tech mega rival Apple's media-frenzied unveilings, was disclosed to participants only hours before the event itself. Journalists - w ... read more


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